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Ehime vs Toyama

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama
Ehime Logo

Ehime

0 - 2
FT
Toyama Logo

Toyama

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ogawa K. In: Kim T.
Out: Ogawa K.
56'
Sub
Tsuboi K. In: Furukawa M.
Out: Tsuboi K.
56'
Sub
Hosoya K. In: Kanazawa K.
Out: Hosoya K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Toyama in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toyama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ehime
15%
Draws
37%
Toyama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ehime

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toyama lately — more wins on the board than Ehime.
  • Win probability leans Ehime's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Toyama have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ehime Clean Sheet 18%
Toyama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ehime Toyama
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 19
Draws 1 1
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.62 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J2/J3 League
Ehime vs Toyama
0:2
Mar 8, 2026 J2/J3 League
Toyama vs Ehime
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 J2 League
Toyama vs Ehime
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 J2 League
Ehime vs Toyama
0:1
Oct 1, 2023 J3 League
Toyama vs Ehime
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ehime Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Toyama Compare

Top Goalscorer Kameda A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ehime 67 / 100
Toyama 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ehime Toyama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ehime Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ehime's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Toyama let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ehime stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ehime VS Toyama
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ehime

(Home)
14 Sept
FC Osaka
2 : 1
Ehime
05 Sept
Ehime
4 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
02 Sept
Ehime
1 : 0
Blaublitz
30 Aug
Kanazawa
0 : 1
Ehime
26 Aug
V-Varen Nagasaki
3 : 2
Ehime
Page 1 of 6

Toyama

(Away)
12 Sept
Toyama
0 : 0
Tochigi City
06 Sept
Iwata
0 : 1
Toyama
02 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 2
Toyama
29 Aug
Toyama
2 : 3
Fujieda MYFC
26 Aug
Sagan Tosu
4 : 0
Toyama
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)