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EI San Martin vs Basico Urraca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Garcia J.
Own Goal
19' Event
Gonzalez S.
64' Event
Martinez H.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 game between EI San Martin and Basico Urraca finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
EI San Martin
35%
Draws
32%
Basico Urraca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Basico Urraca haven't matched EI San Martin's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on EI San Martin taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
EI San Martin Clean Sheet 20%
Basico Urraca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EI San Martin Basico Urraca
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 10 11
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Basico Urraca
2:2
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs EI San Martin
1:1
Jan 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs EI San Martin
2:1
Oct 27, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Basico Urraca
1:2
Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Basico Urraca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EI San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Basico Urraca Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EI San Martin 42 / 100
Basico Urraca 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EI San Martin Basico Urraca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basico Urraca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

EI San Martin scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: EI San Martin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EI San Martin VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

EI San Martin

(Home)
03 Oct
Union Club Ceares
1 : 2
EI San Martin
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 1
EI San Martin
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0
EI San Martin
Page 1 of 7

Basico Urraca

(Away)
11 May
Basico Urraca
1 : 4
Praviano
04 May
Gijon B
1 : 1
Basico Urraca
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2
Basico Urraca
17 Apr
Basico Urraca
1 : 1
Union Club Ceares
12 Apr
Lealtad
5 : 1
Basico Urraca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Oviedo B 34 28 5 1 82:14 89
2 Caudal Deportivo 34 23 7 4 67:15 76
3 Covadonga 34 22 7 5 59:17 73
4 Gijon B 34 18 13 3 60:23 67
5 Lealtad 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
6 CD Mosconia 34 16 10 8 45:31 58
7 L Entregu CF 34 14 9 11 44:44 51
8 Praviano 34 10 14 10 32:36 44
9 CD Colunga 34 10 11 13 45:43 41
10 Tuilla 34 11 7 16 31:41 40
11 Aviles Stadium 34 10 8 16 28:63 38
12 Union Club Ceares 34 9 11 14 36:44 38
13 Real Titanico 34 10 6 18 38:56 36
14 EI San Martin 34 6 14 14 23:36 32
15 Lenense 34 8 8 18 30:63 32
16 Basico Urraca 34 5 12 17 35:56 27
17 Condal 34 6 8 20 20:59 26
18 CD Roces 34 1 6 27 16:75 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 (Play Offs)