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EI San Martin vs Condal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Sobrino D.
35' Event
Fagir I.
51' Event
Sobrino D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between EI San Martin and Condal finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Condal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
EI San Martin
35%
Draws
45%
Condal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Condal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and EI San Martin come out ahead of Condal on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Condal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
EI San Martin Clean Sheet 20%
Condal Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EI San Martin Condal
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.94 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Condal
0:4
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs EI San Martin
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Condal
1:0
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs EI San Martin
0:0
Jan 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Condal
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EI San Martin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36

Condal Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobrino D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fagir I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EI San Martin 10 / 100
Condal 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EI San Martin Condal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Condal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Condal conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

EI San Martin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

EI San Martin's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

EI San Martin VS Condal
1.13 Goals Scored 1.33
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.33
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

EI San Martin

(Home)
03 Oct
Union Club Ceares
1 : 2
EI San Martin
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 1
EI San Martin
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0
EI San Martin
Page 1 of 7

Condal

(Away)
04 Oct
Llanes
1 : 1
Condal
27 Sept
Gijon Industrial
1 : 2
Condal
20 Sept
Condal
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Condal
1 : 0
Club Siero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
5 CD Colunga 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Club Siero 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
8 Langreo 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
9 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
10 Lealtad 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
12 Praviano 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
13 L Entregu CF 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Union Club Ceares 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)