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EI San Martin vs L Entregu CF

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EI San Martin play L Entregu CF in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, EI San Martin averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. L Entregu CF averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, EI San Martin won 2, L Entregu CF won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for EI San Martin and 1.00 for L Entregu CF. This points to a EI San Martin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
EI San Martin
26%
Draws
33%
L Entregu CF
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: EI San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • EI San Martin picked up more points recently compared to L Entregu CF.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
EI San Martin Clean Sheet 23%
L Entregu CF Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 51%
Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EI San Martin L Entregu CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs L Entregu CF
1:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
L Entregu CF vs EI San Martin
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs L Entregu CF
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
L Entregu CF vs EI San Martin
3:2
Mar 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
L Entregu CF vs EI San Martin
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EI San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrari D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

L Entregu CF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EI San Martin 42 / 100
L Entregu CF 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EI San Martin L Entregu CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: EI San Martin or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EI San Martin attacking → ← attacking L Entregu CF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EI San Martin scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

L Entregu CF let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

EI San Martin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

L Entregu CF lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 39
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418