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Stadium Background

EI San Martin vs Llanes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Santos J.

AI Match Summary

EI San Martin in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored EI San Martin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
EI San Martin
15%
Draws
0%
Llanes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EI San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EI San Martin lately — more wins on the board than Llanes.
  • Model gives EI San Martin a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
EI San Martin Clean Sheet 20%
Llanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EI San Martin Llanes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Llanes
1:0
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs EI San Martin
2:2
Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Llanes
1:0
Oct 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs EI San Martin
1:0
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Llanes
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EI San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Llanes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EI San Martin 67 / 100
Llanes 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EI San Martin Llanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EI San Martin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanes has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Llanes lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: EI San Martin scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

EI San Martin VS Llanes
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

EI San Martin

(Home)
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0
EI San Martin
06 Aug
Navarro
0 : 3
EI San Martin
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
03 May
Gijon B
2 : 0
EI San Martin
Page 1 of 6

Llanes

(Away)
13 Sept
Gijon B
3 : 1
Llanes
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5
CD Mosconia
29 Aug
Llanes
0 : 1
Gijon B
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)