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EI San Martin vs Navarro

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Rubio C.
53' Event
Ofon F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between EI San Martin and Navarro finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
EI San Martin
20%
Draws
30%
Navarro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EI San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • EI San Martin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
EI San Martin Clean Sheet 68%
Navarro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EI San Martin Navarro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Navarro vs EI San Martin
0:3
Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Navarro
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navarro vs EI San Martin
0:1
Feb 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navarro vs EI San Martin
1:1
Oct 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Navarro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EI San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Navarro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ofon F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EI San Martin 41 / 100
Navarro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EI San Martin Navarro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EI San Martin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navarro has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

EI San Martin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Navarro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

EI San Martin VS Navarro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

EI San Martin

(Home)
03 Oct
Union Club Ceares
1 : 2
EI San Martin
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 1
EI San Martin
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0
EI San Martin
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Navarro

(Away)
06 Aug
Navarro
0 : 3
EI San Martin
10 May
Navarro
3 : 1
CD Mosconia
03 May
Union Club Ceares
3 : 0
Navarro
26 Apr
Navarro
1 : 2
Caudal Deportivo
19 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Navarro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)