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Eibar B vs Baskonia

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 game between Eibar B and Baskonia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Eibar B
20%
Draws
24%
Baskonia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eibar B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eibar B come out ahead of Baskonia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Eibar B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Eibar B Clean Sheet 20%
Baskonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eibar B Baskonia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 12
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.42 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar B vs Baskonia
4:3
Dec 23, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Eibar B
4:1
May 16, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Eibar B
1:3
Jan 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar B vs Baskonia
1:1
Mar 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar B vs Baskonia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eibar B 85 / 100
Baskonia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eibar B Baskonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eibar B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baskonia let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Eibar B found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Eibar B stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eibar B VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eibar B

(Home)
03 Oct
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 5
Eibar B
27 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Compostela
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2
Eibar B
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Real Oviedo B
2 : 1
Eibar B
Page 1 of 7

Baskonia

(Away)
08 May
Eibar B
4 : 3
Baskonia
02 May
Baskonia
0 : 0
Real Sociedad B
24 Apr
Amorebieta
3 : 0
Baskonia
17 Apr
Baskonia
3 : 3
Retuerto Sport
11 Apr
Leioa
0 : 2
Baskonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lagun Onak 38 21 10 7 51:25 73
2 Amurrio Club 38 21 10 7 63:27 73
3 Elgoibar 38 19 13 6 54:32 70
4 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 54:35 70
5 Beasain 38 20 10 8 68:38 70
6 Gernika Club 38 15 11 12 45:35 56
7 Baskonia 38 14 14 10 50:51 56
8 Laudio 38 11 17 10 39:43 50
9 Zamudio 38 11 16 11 42:38 49
10 Amorebieta 38 13 9 16 59:59 48
11 Leioa 38 12 11 15 38:45 47
12 Arenas Getxo 38 11 14 13 38:43 47
13 Zalla UC 38 12 10 16 35:53 46
14 Santurtzi 38 12 10 16 36:45 46
15 Eibar B 38 9 17 12 32:35 44
16 SCD Durango 38 11 10 17 44:50 43
17 Zarautz KE 38 10 12 16 45:51 42
18 Ordizia 38 10 10 18 35:61 40
19 Alaves B 38 7 11 20 31:53 32
20 San Ignacio 38 2 13 23 25:65 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)