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Eibar B vs Naxara

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Amilibia A.
80' Event
Villoslada I.
82' Event
Agirre J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Eibar B and Naxara finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eibar B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Eibar B
20%
Draws
44%
Naxara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naxara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Naxara haven't matched Eibar B's recent run of results.
  • Eibar B are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Eibar B Clean Sheet 18%
Naxara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eibar B Naxara
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Eibar B vs Naxara
3:2
Oct 5, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Naxara vs Eibar B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eibar B Compare

Top Goalscorer Amilibia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agirre J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Naxara Compare

Top Goalscorer Villoslada I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eibar B 36 / 100
Naxara 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eibar B Naxara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Eibar B scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Naxara conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Eibar B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eibar B VS Naxara
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Eibar B

(Home)
08 Aug
UD Logrones
4 : 0
Eibar B
02 May
Eibar B
3 : 2
Naxara
26 Apr
SD Ejea
1 : 1
Eibar B
18 Apr
Eibar B
1 : 2
Ebro
12 Apr
Utebo FC
1 : 1
Eibar B
Page 1 of 6

Naxara

(Away)
02 May
Eibar B
3 : 2
Naxara
26 Apr
Naxara
1 : 0
Beasain
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
12 Apr
Naxara
2 : 0
SD Logrones
05 Apr
Real Union
3 : 0
Naxara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)