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Stadium Background

Eibar C vs Anorga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Fuente M.
71' Event
Yarza P.
Own Goal
82' Event
Fuente M.

AI Match Summary

Eibar C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eibar C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Eibar C
30%
Draws
41%
Anorga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Anorga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Anorga lately — more wins on the board than Eibar C.
  • Win probability leans Eibar C's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 68%
Anorga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eibar C Anorga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Anorga
3:0
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anorga vs Eibar C
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eibar C Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuente M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

Anorga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eibar C 50 / 100
Anorga 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eibar C Anorga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eibar C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eibar C scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Anorga conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Eibar C remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eibar C VS Anorga
2.13 Goals Scored 1.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
100% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Eibar C

(Home)
04 Oct
Eibar C
2 : 3
Real Sociedad C
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1
Eibar C
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1
SD Erandio
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
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Anorga

(Away)
09 May
Anorga
1 : 2
Real Sociedad C
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1
Anorga
26 Apr
Anorga
2 : 2
Lagun Onak
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
Anorga
4 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)