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Stadium Background

Eidsvold TF vs Baerum

Norway Norway

OBOS Supercup Myhrer Stadion, Eidsvoll
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Eidsvold TF
20%
Draws
23%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eidsvold TF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Eidsvold TF have won more games recently than Baerum.
  • Model gives Eidsvold TF a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Eidsvold TF have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Eidsvold TF, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Eidsvold TF Clean Sheet 11%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eidsvold TF Baerum
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.45 2.82
Goals Conceded 1 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 OBOS Supercup
Eidsvold TF vs Baerum
3:2
Sep 3, 2022 Division 2 - Group 2
Eidsvold TF vs Baerum
1:3
Apr 23, 2022 Division 2 - Group 2
Baerum vs Eidsvold TF
0:2
Apr 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Baerum vs Eidsvold TF
1:1
Aug 28, 2021 Division 2 - Group 1
Eidsvold TF vs Baerum
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eidsvold TF 83 / 100
Baerum 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eidsvold TF Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eidsvold TF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Eidsvold TF scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Baerum conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Eidsvold TF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eidsvold TF VS Baerum
3 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Eidsvold TF

(Home)
19 Sept
Follo
0 : 1
Eidsvold TF
16 Sept
Eidsvold TF
2 : 3
Kongsvinger
11 Sept
Eidsvold TF
3 : 1
Ull/Kisa
05 Sept
Stjordals Blink
1 : 3
Eidsvold TF
30 Aug
Eidsvold TF
0 : 0
Grorud
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Baerum

(Away)
26 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 0
Baerum
19 Sept
Baerum
1 : 2
Union Carl Berner
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0
Nordstrand
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1
Baerum
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eidsvold TF 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
2 Grorud 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
3 Lorenskog 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
4 Eik-Tonsberg 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
5 Baerum 4 0 2 2 7:10 2
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Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skeid 4 3 1 0 14:6 10
2 Honefoss 4 2 1 1 13:8 7
3 Asker 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
4 Ull/Kisa 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
5 Lokomotiv Oslo 4 0 1 3 3:14 1
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
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