Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eidsvold TF vs Baerum

Norway Norway

OBOS Supercup Myhrer Stadion, Eidsvoll
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eidsvold TF in this OBOS Supercup tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Eidsvold TF
28%
Draws
50%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Eidsvold TF have won more games recently than Baerum.
  • Model gives Baerum a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Eidsvold TF have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Eidsvold TF, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Eidsvold TF Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eidsvold TF Baerum
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.75 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 OBOS Supercup
Eidsvold TF vs Baerum
3:2
Sep 3, 2022 Division 2 - Group 2
Eidsvold TF vs Baerum
1:3
Apr 23, 2022 Division 2 - Group 2
Baerum vs Eidsvold TF
0:2
Apr 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Baerum vs Eidsvold TF
1:1
Aug 28, 2021 Division 2 - Group 1
Eidsvold TF vs Baerum
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eidsvold TF 22 / 100
Baerum 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eidsvold TF Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Eidsvold TF scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Eidsvold TF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eidsvold TF VS Baerum
2.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Eidsvold TF

(Home)
26 Jun
Eidsvold TF
2 : 1
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
21 Jun
Honefoss
2 : 1
Eidsvold TF
14 Jun
Eidsvold TF
1 : 3
Levanger
30 May
Kjelsas
0 : 4
Eidsvold TF
25 May
Eidsvold TF
4 : 1
Rana FK
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Baerum

(Away)
27 Jun
Frigg
1 : 1
Baerum
20 Jun
Baerum
7 : 2
Konnerud
14 Jun
KFUM Oslo 2
1 : 4
Baerum
30 May
Baerum
5 : 0
Grei
23 May
Ready
4 : 2
Baerum
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eidsvold TF42208:68
2Grorud41305:36
3Lorenskog41218:85
4Eik-Tonsberg41128:94
5Baerum40227:102
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skeid431014:610
2Honefoss421113:87
3Asker42029:96
4Ull/Kisa41128:104
5Lokomotiv Oslo40133:141
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)