Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eimsbutteler vs Alsterbruder

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Asare J.
14' Event
Marxen J.
29' Event
Asare J.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 game between Eimsbutteler and Alsterbruder finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eimsbutteler.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Eimsbutteler
15%
Draws
42%
Alsterbruder
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eimsbutteler

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eimsbutteler come out ahead of Alsterbruder on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Alsterbruder's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Eimsbutteler Clean Sheet 13%
Alsterbruder Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eimsbutteler Alsterbruder
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 24 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 3.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Eimsbutteler vs Alsterbruder
4:2
Oct 19, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Alsterbruder vs Eimsbutteler
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eimsbutteler Compare

Top Goalscorer Asare J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marxen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2
Avg xA / game 1.3

Alsterbruder Compare

Top Goalscorer Lahrtz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Algner T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eimsbutteler 10 / 100
Alsterbruder 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eimsbutteler Alsterbruder

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alsterbruder Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Eimsbutteler scored in 95% of their last 39 outings.

Alsterbruder has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Alsterbruder lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eimsbutteler VS -
4 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eimsbutteler

(Home)
16 Sept
Eimsbutteler
2 : 4
Werder Bremen II
12 Sept
Eimsbutteler
1 : 3
Phonix Lubeck
04 Sept
Drochtersen / Assel
7 : 1
Eimsbutteler
29 Aug
VfB Oldenburg
7 : 3
Eimsbutteler
26 Aug
Eimsbutteler
3 : 1
Bremer
Page 1 of 8

Alsterbruder

(Away)
16 May
TSV Concordia
2 : 5
Alsterbruder
10 May
Alsterbruder
1 : 4
Paloma
25 Apr
Suderelbe
3 : 2
Alsterbruder
13 Apr
Alsterbruder
1 : 2
Sasel
04 Apr
Eimsbutteler
4 : 2
Alsterbruder
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 99:30 82
2 Dassendorf 34 26 4 4 98:32 82
3 Eimsbutteler 34 22 4 8 96:48 70
4 Paloma 34 22 4 8 84:54 70
5 ETSV Hamburg 34 20 3 11 96:50 63
6 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 7 9 78:44 61
7 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 5 13 56:45 53
8 Vorwarts-Wacker 34 15 5 14 86:97 50
9 TSV Buchholz 08 34 14 4 16 70:76 46
10 Suderelbe 34 13 5 16 70:83 44
11 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 12 5 17 69:73 41
12 Sasel 34 11 7 16 60:73 40
13 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 10 6 18 73:94 36
14 Harksheide 34 9 8 17 63:89 35
15 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 10 5 19 53:83 35
16 TSV Concordia 34 8 5 21 47:88 29
17 Alsterbruder 34 7 4 23 37:90 25
18 Hamburger III 34 3 2 29 45:131 11
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)