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Stadium Background

Eindhoven FC vs Almere City

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Jan Louwers Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Muller T.
35'
de Haan M.
44' Event
Blummel S.
Assist: Simons T.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Eindhoven FC and Almere City finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eindhoven FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Eindhoven FC
6%
Draws
4%
Almere City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Eindhoven FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Almere City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Eindhoven FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Eindhoven FC Clean Sheet 16%
Almere City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eindhoven FC Almere City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.29 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Almere City
3:2
Sep 15, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Eindhoven FC
5:0
May 26, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Eindhoven FC
3:1
May 22, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Almere City
1:0
Feb 10, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Almere City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eindhoven FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Blummel S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Veen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Almere City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bijleveld T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rijkhoff J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eindhoven FC 84 / 100
Almere City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eindhoven FC Almere City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eindhoven FC found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Almere City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Eindhoven FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eindhoven FC VS Almere City
1.29 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Den Haag38292790:3789
2Cambuur38239675:4878
3Willem II382081059:4268
4De Graafschap381891174:5863
5Almere City381841678:6358
6Waalwijk3816101271:5958
7Jong PSV381751666:6456
8Roda3814131159:5455
9Den Bosch381491565:6951
10Dordrecht3812111548:5647
11Eindhoven FC381451951:6947
12Jong Utrecht3812101658:6246
13Venlo381361950:5845
14FC Emmen381291758:7245
15Vitesse3815111264:5544
16TOP Oss3811111654:6444
17Jong AZ Alkmaar381242261:7640
18Helmond Sport381091942:6239
19Maastricht389111841:7338
20Jong Ajax38982150:7335