Sport Picks
Eindhoven FC vs De Graafschap - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven 
Match Events
22'
22'
Buifrahi R.
Assist: van de Riet R.
24'
24'
Wieckhoff J.
46'
46'
Sub
van Zijl B. In: Finocchiaro G.
Out: van Zijl B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eindhoven FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to De Graafschap lately — more wins on the board than Eindhoven FC.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Eindhoven FC taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Eindhoven FC Clean Sheet 68%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eindhoven FC | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 2.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs De Graafschap
2:2
Apr 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs De Graafschap
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Eindhoven FC
2:0
Apr 11, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs De Graafschap
1:0
Sep 6, 2024 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Eindhoven FC
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Eindhoven FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Buifrahi R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baartmans S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
De Graafschap Compare
Top Goalscorer Kwint K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eindhoven FC 77 / 100
De Graafschap 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eindhoven FC De Graafschap
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Eindhoven FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
De Graafschap has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Eindhoven FC scored in 78% of their last 32 games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Eindhoven FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Eindhoven FC VS De Graafschap
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Eindhoven FC
(Home) 03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2 De Graafschap
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2 Eindhoven FC
18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1 FC Emmen
11 Sept
Eindhoven FC
2 : 1 Dordrecht
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 Eindhoven FC
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2 De Graafschap
18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1 FC Emmen
11 Sept
Eindhoven FC
2 : 1 Dordrecht
30 Aug
Eindhoven FC
1 : 3 Heracles
14 Aug
Eindhoven FC
2 : 3 Maastricht
Page 1 of 3
De Graafschap
(Away) 03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2 De Graafschap
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0 Den Bosch
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2 NAC Breda
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2 De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2 De Graafschap
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2 De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1 De Graafschap
09 Aug
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Almere City | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Venlo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26:14 | 21 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 6 | Roda | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Maastricht | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:20 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22:17 | 15 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 13 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | TOP Oss | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:27 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16:23 | 7 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
