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Einheit Wernigerode vs Freital

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud game between Einheit Wernigerode and Freital finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Einheit Wernigerode
35%
Draws
30%
Freital
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Einheit Wernigerode haven't matched Freital's recent run of results.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Einheit Wernigerode Clean Sheet 10%
Freital Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Einheit Wernigerode Freital
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Einheit Wernigerode vs Freital
3:3
Mar 7, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Einheit Wernigerode
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Einheit Wernigerode vs Freital
0:5
Apr 26, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Freital vs Einheit Wernigerode
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Einheit Wernigerode vs Freital
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Einheit Wernigerode 29 / 100
Freital 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Einheit Wernigerode Freital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Einheit Wernigerode Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Einheit Wernigerode scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Einheit Wernigerode stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Freital conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Einheit Wernigerode VS Freital
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Einheit Wernigerode

(Home)
26 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
3 : 3
Freital
20 Sept
Dresden II
1 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
29 Aug
Plauen
2 : 2
Einheit Wernigerode
15 Aug
Einheit Wernigerode
3 : 1
Halle
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Freital

(Away)
26 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
3 : 3
Freital
19 Sept
Freital
2 : 2
Auerbach
13 Sept
Einheit Rudolstadt
1 : 1
Freital
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Freital
4 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halberstadt 6 5 1 0 20:4 16
2 Meuselwitz 6 5 1 0 13:5 16
3 Eilenburg 6 4 1 1 19:10 13
4 Halle 6 4 0 2 15:11 12
5 Auerbach 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
6 Dresden II 6 2 4 0 9:4 10
7 SSC Weissenfels 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
8 Plauen 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
9 Einheit Wernigerode 6 1 4 1 12:12 7
10 Sandersdorf 6 2 0 4 13:10 6
11 Freital 6 1 3 2 11:12 6
12 Bautzen 6 1 3 2 8:13 6
13 Krieschow 6 1 1 4 5:16 4
14 Glauchau 6 0 2 4 5:12 2
15 Einheit Rudolstadt 5 0 2 3 4:14 2
16 1.FC Frankfurt 5 0 0 5 6:23 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2027/2028 (Main)