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Ejido vs Huetor Tajar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Soler A.
90'
Amat J.
90'
Amat J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 game between Ejido and Huetor Tajar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ejido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ejido
15%
Draws
73%
Huetor Tajar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Huetor Tajar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Huetor Tajar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Huetor Tajar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Ejido Clean Sheet 24%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ejido Huetor Tajar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.16
Goals Conceded 2 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Ejido
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido vs Huetor Tajar
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido vs Huetor Tajar
0:0
Dec 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Ejido
0:0
Jan 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Ejido
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ejido Compare

Top Goalscorer Soler A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Huetor Tajar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ejido 10 / 100
Huetor Tajar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ejido Huetor Tajar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Tajar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huetor Tajar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Ejido found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Huetor Tajar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Huetor Tajar
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ejido

(Home)
11 May
Ejido
1 : 3
El Palo
04 May
Huetor Tajar
1 : 0
Ejido
01 May
Ejido
1 : 2
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
27 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 1
Ejido
13 Apr
Ejido
0 : 3
Motril
Page 1 of 6

Huetor Tajar

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1
Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 34 26 5 3 76:22 83
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 60:35 73
3 Motril 34 18 7 9 57:35 61
4 Torre del Mar 34 18 7 9 48:30 61
5 Huetor Tajar 34 17 6 11 35:28 57
6 Huetor Vega 34 16 9 9 49:36 57
7 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 14 12 8 53:35 54
8 CD Torreperogil 34 13 11 10 42:37 50
9 Mancha 34 13 7 14 37:39 46
10 Marbelli 34 11 9 14 32:42 42
11 El Palo 34 10 11 13 36:49 41
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 10 10 14 43:44 40
13 Arenas Armilla 34 9 11 14 40:49 38
14 Martos 34 11 5 18 28:41 38
15 Atletico de Porcuna 34 9 9 16 45:55 36
16 Ejido 34 7 6 21 36:68 27
17 CP Almeria 34 7 2 25 35:75 23
18 Malaga Juniors 34 5 6 23 31:63 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)