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Ekenas IF vs KTP

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN, Raseborg
Ekenas IF Logo

Ekenas IF

0 - 1
FT
KTP Logo

KTP

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Mohammed N.
26'
Adebayo A.
66'
Sub
Adebayo A. In: Sunday G.
Out: Adebayo A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KTP in this Ykkosliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KTP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ekenas IF
35%
Draws
53%
KTP
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: KTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • KTP have won more games recently than Ekenas IF.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on KTP taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ekenas IF Clean Sheet 20%
KTP Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ekenas IF KTP
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.24 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Ekenas IF vs KTP
0:1
Jun 12, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs Ekenas IF
5:1
May 3, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Ekenas IF vs KTP
5:2
Mar 9, 2025 Club Friendly
KTP vs Ekenas IF
0:0
Jun 21, 2023 Suomen Cup
KTP vs Ekenas IF
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ekenas IF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

KTP Compare

Top Goalscorer Rangel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekenas IF 10 / 100
KTP 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ekenas IF KTP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Ekenas IF found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Ekenas IF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

KTP has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ekenas IF VS KTP
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ekenas IF

(Home)
26 Sept
Ekenas IF
1 : 1
SJK Akatemia
18 Sept
JaPS
1 : 0
Ekenas IF
12 Sept
Ekenas IF
2 : 2
Haka
04 Sept
PK-35
0 : 0
Ekenas IF
29 Aug
Ekenas IF
0 : 2
Jippo
Page 1 of 6

KTP

(Away)
25 Sept
KTP
1 : 1
Mikkelin
19 Sept
PK-35
0 : 3
KTP
11 Sept
KTP
3 : 0
JaPS
04 Sept
Jippo
0 : 2
KTP
28 Aug
KTP
2 : 1
Haka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 25 18 4 3 45:22 58
2 PK-35 25 14 7 4 41:18 49
3 Haka 25 13 5 7 47:29 44
4 Jippo 25 11 8 6 32:21 41
5 JaPS 25 11 2 12 23:36 35
6 Ekenas IF 25 8 5 12 29:37 29
7 Mikkelin 25 8 5 12 27:35 29
8 KaPa 25 6 6 13 30:45 24
9 Klubi 04 25 5 8 12 30:37 23
10 SJK Akatemia 25 2 8 15 17:41 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)