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Ekhaya vs Karonga United Prediction & H2H Stats

Malawi Malawi

Super League
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Ekhaya
35%
Draws
46%
Karonga United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karonga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ekhaya average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Karonga United's 1.
  • Model gives Ekhaya a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ekhaya have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ekhaya Clean Sheet 20%
Karonga United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ekhaya Karonga United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Super League
Ekhaya vs Karonga United
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Karonga United vs Ekhaya
0:1
May 21, 2025 Super League
Ekhaya vs Karonga United
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekhaya 36 / 100
Karonga United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ekhaya Karonga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekhaya found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Karonga United conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ekhaya stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ekhaya VS Karonga United
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ekhaya

(Home)
06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0
Karonga United
22 Aug
Creck Sporting
3 : 2
Ekhaya
15 Aug
Silver Strikers
3 : 0
Ekhaya
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
25 Jul
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Ekhaya
Page 1 of 6

Karonga United

(Away)
06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0
Karonga United
23 Aug
Karonga United
1 : 1
Chitipa United
16 Aug
Karonga United
0 : 1
Big Bullets
09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1
Karonga United
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1
Creck Sporting
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blue Eagles 15 10 1 4 24:16 31
2 Big Bullets 15 8 6 1 20:7 30
3 Mighty Wanderers FC 15 8 5 2 27:11 29
4 Silver Strikers 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
5 Masters FC 15 6 4 5 17:16 22
6 Moyale Barracks 15 5 6 4 16:17 21
7 Chitipa United 15 6 3 6 11:16 21
8 Red Lions 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
9 Mitundu Baptist 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
10 Civo Utd 15 6 2 7 10:14 20
11 Ekhaya 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
12 Dedza Dynamos 15 3 6 6 9:19 15
13 Karonga United 15 3 5 7 14:23 14
14 MAFCO 15 3 4 8 12:17 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
16 Creck Sporting 15 2 4 9 11:20 10
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