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Ekhaya vs Red Lions

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Malinda B.
67' Event
Kaliwo K.
82'
Bokosi R.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Ekhaya and Red Lions finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Ekhaya
35%
Draws
46%
Red Lions
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Red Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ekhaya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ekhaya Clean Sheet 20%
Red Lions Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ekhaya Red Lions
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.21 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Ekhaya vs Red Lions
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ekhaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Malinda B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Red Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaliwo K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekhaya 32 / 100
Red Lions 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ekhaya Red Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekhaya found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Red Lions conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ekhaya stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ekhaya VS Red Lions
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ekhaya

(Home)
06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0
Karonga United
22 Aug
Creck Sporting
3 : 2
Ekhaya
15 Aug
Silver Strikers
3 : 0
Ekhaya
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
25 Jul
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Ekhaya
Page 1 of 7

Red Lions

(Away)
05 Sept
Red Lions
0 : 0
Masters FC
22 Aug
Mighty Wanderers FC
2 : 1
Red Lions
15 Aug
Red Lions
1 : 0
Moyale Barracks
09 Aug
Red Lions
0 : 0
Kamuzu Barracks
25 Jul
Blue Eagles
3 : 2
Red Lions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blue Eagles 15 10 1 4 24:16 31
2 Big Bullets 15 8 6 1 20:7 30
3 Mighty Wanderers FC 15 8 5 2 27:11 29
4 Silver Strikers 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
5 Masters FC 15 6 4 5 17:16 22
6 Moyale Barracks 15 5 6 4 16:17 21
7 Chitipa United 15 6 3 6 11:16 21
8 Red Lions 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
9 Mitundu Baptist 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
10 Civo Utd 15 6 2 7 10:14 20
11 Ekhaya 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
12 Dedza Dynamos 15 3 6 6 9:19 15
13 Karonga United 15 3 5 7 14:23 14
14 MAFCO 15 3 4 8 12:17 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
16 Creck Sporting 15 2 4 9 11:20 10
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)