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Ekhaya vs Songwe Border

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Banda M.
23' Event
Mnyenyembe L.
24' Event
Lungu A.

AI Match Summary

Ekhaya in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ekhaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ekhaya
30%
Draws
0%
Songwe Border
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ekhaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Songwe Border haven't matched Ekhaya's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ekhaya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ekhaya Clean Sheet 68%
Songwe Border Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ekhaya Songwe Border
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 1
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 26
Goals Scored 1.22 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Super League
Ekhaya vs Songwe Border
4:1
Apr 26, 2025 Super League
Songwe Border vs Ekhaya
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ekhaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Banda M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mnyenyembe L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Songwe Border Compare

Top Goalscorer Moses J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekhaya 95 / 100
Songwe Border 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ekhaya Songwe Border

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ekhaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Songwe Border has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Songwe Border registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ekhaya found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Ekhaya VS Songwe Border
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ekhaya

(Home)
15 Aug
Silver Strikers
3 : 0
Ekhaya
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
25 Jul
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Ekhaya
19 Jul
Ekhaya
0 : 0
Big Bullets
05 Jul
Mitundu Baptist
0 : 0
Ekhaya
Page 1 of 7

Songwe Border

(Away)
27 Dec
Songwe Border
0 : 5
Civo Utd
20 Dec
Songwe Border
1 : 2
Blue Eagles
07 Dec
Silver Strikers
6 : 0
Songwe Border
03 Dec
MAFCO
2 : 0
Songwe Border
23 Nov
Songwe Border
0 : 3
Dedza Dynamos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 20 9 1 51:14 69
2 Big Bullets 30 21 3 6 60:20 66
3 Silver Strikers 30 18 10 2 50:18 64
4 Blue Eagles 30 13 9 8 38:30 48
5 Civo Utd 30 13 8 9 39:21 47
6 Karonga United 30 13 5 12 31:28 44
7 Ekhaya 30 13 3 14 36:28 42
8 Creck Sporting 30 11 9 10 25:27 42
9 Moyale Barracks 30 10 10 10 28:40 40
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 11 6 13 31:35 39
11 Chitipa United 30 9 10 11 23:30 37
12 Dedza Dynamos 30 8 8 14 24:33 32
13 MAFCO 30 8 7 15 29:37 31
14 Mzuzu City 30 7 7 16 26:49 28
15 Mighty Tigers 30 6 9 15 21:35 27
16 Songwe Border 30 1 3 26 10:77 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)