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Ekranas vs BFA Vilnius

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ekranas host BFA Vilnius in the I Lyga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Ekranas at 1.38 goals for, 1.63 against; BFA Vilnius at 1 for, 2.38 against. Head-to-head, Ekranas have won 0 to BFA Vilnius's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 2, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.31, favoring BFA Vilnius. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ekranas
33%
Draws
40%
BFA Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: BFA Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • BFA Vilnius have won more games recently than Ekranas.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on BFA Vilnius taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ekranas Clean Sheet 18%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ekranas BFA Vilnius
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 1 5
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Ekranas
3:0
Jul 23, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Ekranas
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 I Lyga
Ekranas vs BFA Vilnius
0:2
Aug 4, 2024 I Lyga
Ekranas vs BFA Vilnius
1:1
Mar 9, 2024 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Ekranas
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekranas 28 / 100
BFA Vilnius 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ekranas BFA Vilnius

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekranas found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

BFA Vilnius has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: BFA Vilnius has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ekranas VS BFA Vilnius
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Minija15131139:940
2FK Babrungas15123026:439
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Neptunas1591520:1728
5Tauras Taurage1591527:1628
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7Garliava1564522:1422
8BFA Vilnius1571718:2422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1545618:2017
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas15211215:297
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21521127:247
16Siauliai 215141013:357