Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ekranas vs BFA Vilnius

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Korvel L.
28' Event
Misiunas D.
41' Event
Misiunas D.

AI Match Summary

BFA Vilnius in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored BFA Vilnius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Ekranas
20%
Draws
63%
BFA Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFA Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • BFA Vilnius have won more games recently than Ekranas.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on BFA Vilnius taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • BFA Vilnius have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ekranas Clean Sheet 10%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ekranas BFA Vilnius
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 1 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 I Lyga
Ekranas vs BFA Vilnius
1:4
Jul 2, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Ekranas
3:0
Jul 23, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Ekranas
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 I Lyga
Ekranas vs BFA Vilnius
0:2
Aug 4, 2024 I Lyga
Ekranas vs BFA Vilnius
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ekranas Compare

Top Goalscorer Patella S. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

BFA Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Misiunas D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Korvel L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekranas 10 / 100
BFA Vilnius 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ekranas BFA Vilnius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Vilnius Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ekranas scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

BFA Vilnius has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Ekranas remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ekranas VS BFA Vilnius
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ekranas

(Home)
19 Sept
Ekranas
2 : 6
Siauliai 2
12 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Ekranas
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0
Garliava
29 Aug
Ekranas
0 : 5
BE1 NFA
21 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 2
Ekranas
Page 1 of 6

BFA Vilnius

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0
Neptunas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 24 18 4 2 42:11 58
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 43:25 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 24 13 4 7 38:31 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 7 1 17 30:56 22
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Garliava 24 6 4 14 27:30 22
14 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)