Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ekranas vs Jonava

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Oda K.
69' Event
Penaloza J.
90' Event
Houat Y.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between Ekranas and Jonava finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jonava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ekranas
15%
Draws
51%
Jonava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jonava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jonava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jonava's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ekranas Clean Sheet 15%
Jonava Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ekranas Jonava
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 I Lyga
Jonava vs Ekranas
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 I Lyga
Ekranas vs Jonava
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs Ekranas
0:2
Jun 27, 2025 I Lyga
Ekranas vs Jonava
0:0
Sep 29, 2023 I Lyga
Ekranas vs Jonava
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ekranas Compare

Top Goalscorer Penaloza J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Jonava Compare

Top Goalscorer Oda K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Houat Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekranas 19 / 100
Jonava 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ekranas Jonava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekranas's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Jonava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Jonava registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ekranas VS Jonava
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ekranas

(Home)
07 Aug
Jonava
1 : 2
Ekranas
01 Aug
Ekranas
1 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Jul
FK Babrungas
2 : 0
Ekranas
19 Jul
Ekranas
1 : 4
BFA Vilnius
02 Jul
BFA Vilnius
3 : 0
Ekranas
Page 1 of 6

Jonava

(Away)
07 Aug
Jonava
1 : 2
Ekranas
31 Jul
BE1 NFA
0 : 2
Jonava
25 Jul
Jonava
1 : 0
Garliava
18 Jul
FK Minija
2 : 1
Jonava
27 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 1
Jonava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 19 16 1 2 48:11 49
2 FK Babrungas 19 15 3 1 32:6 48
3 Neptunas 19 12 2 5 27:20 38
4 Tauras Taurage 19 11 2 6 35:22 35
5 Dainava Alytus 18 10 4 4 32:18 34
6 BE1 NFA 18 10 2 6 29:23 32
7 BFA Vilnius 19 10 1 8 29:29 31
8 FK Atmosfera 18 7 4 7 29:22 25
9 Zalgiris 2 18 7 4 7 25:26 25
10 Jonava 19 6 5 8 23:24 23
11 Garliava 18 6 4 8 23:19 22
12 Hegelmann Litauen 2 19 5 1 13 20:43 16
13 Transinvest 2 19 4 3 12 18:46 15
14 Ekranas 19 3 2 14 19:37 11
15 Siauliai 2 19 2 5 12 17:41 11
16 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 18 3 1 14 12:31 10
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)