Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Alamo vs Alcobendas

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcobendas in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcobendas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
El Alamo
30%
Draws
51%
Alcobendas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcobendas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Alcobendas have won more games recently than El Alamo.
  • Model gives Alcobendas a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Alcobendas here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 21%
Alcobendas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Alamo Alcobendas
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.94 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Alcobendas
1:2
Sep 22, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs El Alamo
1:1
Feb 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs El Alamo
4:2
Sep 10, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Alcobendas
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Alamo 24 / 100
Alcobendas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Alamo Alcobendas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcobendas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcobendas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 20 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

El Alamo's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

El Alamo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Alamo VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

El Alamo

(Home)
11 May
El Alamo
3 : 1
Trival Valderas
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
El Alamo
0 : 1
Mexico
20 Apr
Parla
1 : 0
El Alamo
13 Apr
El Alamo
2 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
Page 1 of 7

Alcobendas

(Away)
08 Mar
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcobendas
29 Feb
Alcobendas
5 : 0
RSD Alcala
23 Feb
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 1
Alcobendas
16 Feb
Alcobendas
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
09 Feb
El Alamo
1 : 2
Alcobendas
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Navalcarnero 28 16 5 7 44:22 53
2 Union Adarve 28 14 5 9 43:35 47
3 Alcorcon B 28 12 11 5 40:26 47
4 RSD Alcala 28 13 6 9 41:32 45
5 Trival Valderas 28 12 7 9 30:27 43
6 Leganes B 28 11 9 8 49:41 42
7 CD Mostoles 28 12 6 10 42:36 42
8 Pozuelo de Alarcon 28 11 7 10 36:38 40
9 Rayo Vallecano B 28 10 9 9 47:44 39
10 Flat Earth FC 28 11 9 8 36:34 39
11 Santa Ana 28 11 5 12 42:46 38
12 Carabanchel 28 9 9 10 32:32 36
13 Atletico Pinto 28 8 11 9 40:38 35
14 AD Torrejon 28 9 8 11 27:32 35
15 El Alamo 28 9 7 12 36:42 34
16 Moratalaz 28 8 10 10 29:37 34
17 San Fernando de Henares 28 8 9 11 38:42 33
18 Alcobendas 28 8 9 11 35:38 33
19 Parla 28 4 10 14 30:50 22
20 Villaverde San Andres 28 3 10 15 16:41 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)