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El Alamo vs Cala Pozuelo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

El Alamo play Cala Pozuelo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, El Alamo averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Cala Pozuelo averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, El Alamo won 1, Cala Pozuelo won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 1, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for El Alamo and 1.50 for Cala Pozuelo. This points to a Cala Pozuelo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
El Alamo
20%
Draws
48%
Cala Pozuelo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cala Pozuelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • El Alamo picked up more points recently compared to Cala Pozuelo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 16%
Cala Pozuelo Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Alamo Cala Pozuelo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.93 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Cala Pozuelo
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Cala Pozuelo vs El Alamo
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Alamo 32 / 100
Cala Pozuelo 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Alamo Cala Pozuelo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cala Pozuelo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

El Alamo attacking → ← attacking Cala Pozuelo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Alamo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Cala Pozuelo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

El Alamo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cala Pozuelo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 31
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1RSD Alcala34236568:3275
2Rayo Vallecano B34187971:5261
3AD Torrejon341771055:4858
4Villaverde San Andres341412852:3754
5Galapagar341412845:4154
6CD Las Rozas341591045:4254
7Collado Villalba3414101044:3652
8Leganes B341312958:3851
9Alcorcon B341381355:5047
10Trival Valderas3412101247:4746
11Tres Cantos341291343:4445
12Mexico341191435:4942
13Carabanchel3410121230:2942
14Parla341081638:5838
15Cala Pozuelo341081642:5138
16Aravaca CF34981742:5235
17Canillas34582136:6823
18El Alamo34572229:6122