Sport Picks
El Alamo vs Rayo Vallecano B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 
Match Events
5'
5'
Alonso S.
12'
12'
Becerra S.
15'
15'
Alonso S.
AI Match Summary
Rayo Vallecano B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Vallecano B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Alamo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Rayo Vallecano B have won more games recently than El Alamo.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Alamo | Rayo Vallecano B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 20 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Rayo Vallecano B
2:4
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs El Alamo
5:0
Feb 2, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs El Alamo
2:2
Sep 15, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Rayo Vallecano B
3:2
Mar 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Rayo Vallecano B
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
El Alamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Zamorano G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Rayo Vallecano B Compare
Top Goalscorer Alonso S.
3 Goals Assists Leader Becerra S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Alamo 31 / 100
Rayo Vallecano B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Alamo Rayo Vallecano B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick El Alamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Vallecano B has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 4.60 goals.
Attacking prowess: El Alamo scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: Rayo Vallecano B registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Rayo Vallecano B
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
El Alamo
(Home) 11 May
El Alamo
3 : 1 Trival Valderas
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1 El Alamo
26 Apr
El Alamo
0 : 1 Mexico
20 Apr
Parla
1 : 0 El Alamo
13 Apr
El Alamo
2 : 2 Villaverde San Andres
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11 May
El Alamo
3 : 1 Trival Valderas
26 Apr
El Alamo
0 : 1 Mexico
13 Apr
El Alamo
2 : 2 Villaverde San Andres
29 Mar
El Alamo
3 : 1 Canillas
16 Mar
El Alamo
0 : 2 AD Torrejon
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Rayo Vallecano B
(Away) 04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2 Rayo Vallecano B
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2 Galapagar
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3 Cala Pozuelo
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
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04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2 Rayo Vallecano B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano B
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
14 Aug
Getafe B
4 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 68:32 | 75 |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 71:52 | 61 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 55:48 | 58 |
| 4 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 52:37 | 54 |
| 5 | Galapagar | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 45:41 | 54 |
| 6 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 45:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Collado Villalba | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 44:36 | 52 |
| 8 | Leganes B | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 51 |
| 9 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 55:50 | 47 |
| 10 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Mexico | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:49 | 42 |
| 13 | Carabanchel | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:29 | 42 |
| 14 | Parla | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Cala Pozuelo | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Aravaca CF | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 42:52 | 35 |
| 17 | Canillas | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 36:68 | 23 |
| 18 | El Alamo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 29:61 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
