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El Alamo vs San Fernando de Henares

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 game between El Alamo and San Fernando de Henares finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Fernando de Henares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
El Alamo
6%
Draws
90%
San Fernando de Henares
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Fernando de Henares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • El Alamo haven't matched San Fernando de Henares's recent run of results.
  • San Fernando de Henares are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 20%
San Fernando de Henares Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Alamo San Fernando de Henares
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs San Fernando de Henares
1:2
Apr 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Fernando de Henares vs El Alamo
0:1
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Fernando de Henares vs El Alamo
0:0
Dec 6, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs San Fernando de Henares
1:4
Mar 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Fernando de Henares vs El Alamo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Alamo 10 / 100
San Fernando de Henares 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Alamo San Fernando de Henares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Alamo scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Defensive concern: San Fernando de Henares conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

El Alamo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

El Alamo VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

El Alamo

(Home)
11 May
El Alamo
3 : 1
Trival Valderas
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
El Alamo
0 : 1
Mexico
20 Apr
Parla
1 : 0
El Alamo
13 Apr
El Alamo
2 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
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San Fernando de Henares

(Away)
16 Jun
San Fernando de Henares
4 : 1
Real Aranjuez
13 Jun
Mostoles CF
0 : 3
San Fernando de Henares
29 May
Atletico Pinto
1 : 1
San Fernando de Henares
23 May
San Fernando de Henares
1 : 0
Villaverde San Andres
16 May
El Alamo
1 : 2
San Fernando de Henares
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