Sport Picks
El Alamo vs Trival Valderas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 
Match Events
14'
14'
Mineira G. H.
52'
52'
Raul D. O.
60'
60'
del Monte V.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between El Alamo and Trival Valderas finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Alamo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trival Valderas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Trival Valderas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Trival Valderas's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 15%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Alamo | Trival Valderas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Trival Valderas
3:1
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs El Alamo
3:2
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs El Alamo
1:0
Nov 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Trival Valderas
1:1
Jan 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Trival Valderas
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
El Alamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Mineira G. H.
1 Goals Assists Leader del Monte V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Trival Valderas Compare
Top Goalscorer Raul D. O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Alamo 10 / 100
Trival Valderas 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Alamo Trival Valderas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
El Alamo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Trival Valderas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
El Alamo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Trival Valderas
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
El Alamo
(Home) 11 May
El Alamo
3 : 1 Trival Valderas
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1 El Alamo
26 Apr
El Alamo
0 : 1 Mexico
20 Apr
Parla
1 : 0 El Alamo
13 Apr
El Alamo
2 : 2 Villaverde San Andres
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11 May
El Alamo
3 : 1 Trival Valderas
26 Apr
El Alamo
0 : 1 Mexico
13 Apr
El Alamo
2 : 2 Villaverde San Andres
29 Mar
El Alamo
3 : 1 Canillas
16 Mar
El Alamo
0 : 2 AD Torrejon
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Trival Valderas
(Away) 04 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 1 CD Las Rozas
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2 Trival Valderas
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0 Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Siello
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26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2 Trival Valderas
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0 Trival Valderas
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0 Trival Valderas
31 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 1 Trival Valderas
17 May
Leganes B
0 : 1 Trival Valderas
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 68:32 | 75 |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 71:52 | 61 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 55:48 | 58 |
| 4 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 52:37 | 54 |
| 5 | Galapagar | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 45:41 | 54 |
| 6 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 45:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Collado Villalba | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 44:36 | 52 |
| 8 | Leganes B | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 51 |
| 9 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 55:50 | 47 |
| 10 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Mexico | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:49 | 42 |
| 13 | Carabanchel | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:29 | 42 |
| 14 | Parla | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Cala Pozuelo | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Aravaca CF | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 42:52 | 35 |
| 17 | Canillas | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 36:68 | 23 |
| 18 | El Alamo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 29:61 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
