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Stadium Background

El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Atletico Rafal

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
El Espinar Sant Rafel
6%
Draws
4%
Atletico Rafal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: El Espinar Sant Rafel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to El Espinar Sant Rafel lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Rafal.
  • Win probability leans El Espinar Sant Rafel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
El Espinar Sant Rafel Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Rafal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Espinar Sant Rafel Atletico Rafal
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Atletico Rafal
1:0
Dec 13, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
1:1
Feb 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Atletico Rafal
1:1
Sep 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Espinar Sant Rafel 85 / 100
Atletico Rafal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Espinar Sant Rafel Atletico Rafal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Rafal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: El Espinar Sant Rafel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Atletico Rafal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

El Espinar Sant Rafel VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mallorca B38258590:2783
2Pena Deportiva38248675:3380
3Formentera38248658:2780
4Binissalem381813756:3167
5Mercadal381981155:5365
6UD Poblense381713860:3564
7Alcudia3816121059:4160
8Penya Ciutadella Esportiva381731847:5154
9Llosetense381591454:5354
10Manacor3814111363:6253
11Collerense381651760:6053
12Platges de Calvia3812131341:4049
13Campos3812111551:5447
14Ferriolense381291741:5045
15Atletico Rafal3810121642:6542
16El Espinar Sant Rafel3810101847:6040
17CD Montuiri381082042:5338
18Rotlet Molinar381142343:8437
19Felanitx38682427:6526
20Santanyi38272926:9313