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El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Rotlet Molinar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rotlet Molinar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rotlet Molinar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
El Espinar Sant Rafel
30%
Draws
31%
Rotlet Molinar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Espinar Sant Rafel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rotlet Molinar lately — more wins on the board than El Espinar Sant Rafel.
  • El Espinar Sant Rafel are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
El Espinar Sant Rafel Clean Sheet 20%
Rotlet Molinar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Espinar Sant Rafel Rotlet Molinar
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 0.97 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Rotlet Molinar
2:3
Dec 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
2:1
May 6, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Rotlet Molinar
3:0
Dec 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
1:3
Feb 7, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Rotlet Molinar
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Espinar Sant Rafel 36 / 100
Rotlet Molinar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Espinar Sant Rafel Rotlet Molinar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotlet Molinar has conceded goals in 92% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

El Espinar Sant Rafel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Rotlet Molinar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Espinar Sant Rafel VS Rotlet Molinar
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

El Espinar Sant Rafel

(Home)
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1
Murense
24 Apr
Platges de Calvia
5 : 0
El Espinar Sant Rafel
14 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 3
Rotlet Molinar
10 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2
El Espinar Sant Rafel
03 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 0
Soller
Page 1 of 6

Rotlet Molinar

(Away)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3
Constancia
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
18 Apr
Santanyi
2 : 2
Rotlet Molinar
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2
CD Son Cladera
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 40 32 5 3 105:27 101
2 Manacor 40 26 4 10 74:42 82
3 UD Poblense 40 24 8 8 89:24 80
4 Platges de Calvia 40 22 11 7 56:27 77
5 Llosetense 40 22 9 9 62:36 75
6 Santanyi 40 23 6 11 66:46 75
7 Constancia 40 20 9 11 54:38 69
8 PE Sant Jordi 40 20 8 12 57:46 68
9 Portmany 40 17 11 12 55:51 62
10 Collerense 40 17 7 16 45:49 58
11 Soller 40 16 9 15 46:52 57
12 Binissalem 40 13 12 15 40:44 51
13 Mercadal 40 11 12 17 54:51 45
14 Inter Ibiza 40 12 7 21 51:62 43
15 Rotlet Molinar 40 11 9 20 35:53 42
16 El Espinar Sant Rafel 40 10 10 20 48:64 40
17 Campos 40 10 10 20 38:64 40
18 Felanitx 40 9 11 20 43:65 38
19 Serverense 40 8 7 25 35:74 31
20 Murense 40 5 8 27 31:76 23
21 Son Veri 40 4 3 33 28:121 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 (Play Offs)