Sport Picks
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs UD Alaro
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Espinar Sant Rafel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- El Espinar Sant Rafel have won more games recently than UD Alaro.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on El Espinar Sant Rafel taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
El Espinar Sant Rafel Clean Sheet 20%
UD Alaro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Espinar Sant Rafel | UD Alaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs UD Alaro
0:0
Nov 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
1:2
Jan 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
2:2
Sep 7, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs UD Alaro
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Espinar Sant Rafel 76 / 100
UD Alaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Espinar Sant Rafel UD Alaro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick El Espinar Sant Rafel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD Alaro let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
UD Alaro lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
El Espinar Sant Rafel's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
El Espinar Sant Rafel VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
El Espinar Sant Rafel
(Home) 27 Sept
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 5 Prat
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1 Murense
24 Apr
Platges de Calvia
5 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
14 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 3 Rotlet Molinar
10 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 5 Prat
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1 Murense
14 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 3 Rotlet Molinar
03 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 0 Soller
19 Mar
El Espinar Sant Rafel
0 : 0 Binissalem
Page 1 of 4
UD Alaro
(Away) 15 May
Collerense
3 : 0 UD Alaro
07 May
UD Alaro
0 : 4 Alcudia
29 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0 UD Alaro
24 Apr
UD Alaro
0 : 1 Mercadal
17 Apr
Formentera
3 : 0 UD Alaro
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Collerense
3 : 0 UD Alaro
29 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0 UD Alaro
17 Apr
Formentera
3 : 0 UD Alaro
02 Apr
Campos
1 : 0 UD Alaro
13 Mar
El Espinar Sant Rafel
0 : 0 UD Alaro
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 79:29 | 80 |
| 2 | Formentera | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 69:29 | 78 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 63:32 | 74 |
| 4 | Constancia | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 58:30 | 65 |
| 5 | UD Poblense | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57:30 | 62 |
| 6 | Alcudia | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 52:39 | 61 |
| 7 | Mercadal | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 49:42 | 61 |
| 8 | Binissalem | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 49:38 | 59 |
| 9 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 49:49 | 57 |
| 10 | Collerense | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 52:51 | 55 |
| 11 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 43:37 | 53 |
| 12 | Ferriolense | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 36:42 | 45 |
| 13 | Campos | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:59 | 44 |
| 14 | Penya Ciutadella Esportiva | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46:61 | 43 |
| 15 | Esporles | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 35:56 | 40 |
| 16 | Rotlet Molinar | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 42:70 | 38 |
| 17 | Santa Catalina Atletico | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 33:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 28:55 | 35 |
| 19 | Soller | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32:81 | 24 |
| 20 | UD Alaro | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 18:55 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
