Sport Picks

USA

US Open Cup 2019

El Farolito

0 - 1

Monterey Bay

Our Tip

Match Events

75'

Lawal Q.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The US Open Cup 2019 game between El Farolito and Monterey Bay finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterey Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

El Farolito

28%

Draws

22%

Monterey Bay

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: El Farolito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Monterey Bay come out ahead of El Farolito on wins alone.
Win probability leans El Farolito's way, sitting at 50%.
It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal US Open Cup 2019 game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

El Farolito Clean Sheet 16%

Monterey Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	El Farolito	Monterey Bay
Matches Played	12	30
Wins	6	7
Draws	0	5
Losses	6	18
Goals Scored	0	0.88
Goals Conceded	2	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2025 US Open Cup

Monterey Bay vs El Farolito

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

May 15, 2019 US Open Cup

El Farolito vs Monterey Bay

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Farolito Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Monterey Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawal Q.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Farolito 48 / 100

Monterey Bay 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

El Farolito Monterey Bay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELF Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Monterey Bay conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: El Farolito scored in 67% of their last 12 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Monterey Bay's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

El Farolito VS Monterey Bay

0 Goals Scored 0.88

2 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals

Orlando City-

TBD-

Hartford Athletic-

TBD-

Black Rock1

New York Cosmos 22

New York Red Bulls U235

Motown4

TBD-

Memphis 901-

New York Red Bulls-

TBD-

New England Revolution-

DC United-

TBD-

Philadelphia Union-

North Carolina FC-

TBD-

Virginia Utd2

Richmond Kickers6

Charlotte Independence-

TBD-

Miami FC1

Florida Soccer Soldiers2

TBD-

New York City-

Columbus Crew-

TBD-

Indy Eleven-

TBD-

Ann Arbor1

Lansing Ignite2

Dayton2

Erie Commodores1

TBD-

Pittsburgh Riverhounds-

Charleston-

TBD-

South Georgia Tormenta0

Greenville Triumph1

South Georgia Tormenta II3

Chattanooga Red Wolves0

TBD-

Nashville SC-

TBD-

Atlanta United-

St. Louis FC-

TBD-

Duluth FC1

Menace2

El Paso Locomotive-

TBD-

Bavarian United SC0

Forward Madison2

TBD-

Chicago Fire-

Louisville City-

TBD-

Philadelphia Lone Star1

Reading2

West Chester United2

FC Baltimore1

TBD-

Birmingham Legion-

TBD-

FC Cincinnati-

Houston Dynamo-

TBD-

San Antonio FC-

TBD-

Twin City Toucans0

Laredo Heat1

FC Tulsa-

TBD-

Austin Bold-

Sporting Kansas City-

TBD-

Minnesota United-

FC Dallas-

TBD-

Tampa Bay-

TBD-

Lakeland Tropics1

Brave SC2

NTX Rayados3

Little Rock Rangers2

TBD-

Oklahoma City Energy FC-

Colorado Rapids-

TBD-

Colorado Springs-

TBD-

Midland Sockers1

FC Denver2

Phoenix Rising-

TBD-

New Mexico-

Los Angeles FC-

TBD-

Real Salt Lake-

Sacramento Republic-

TBD-

Reno 1868-

El Farolito2

Academica SC1

TBD-

Monterey Bay-

TBD-

San Jose Earthquakes-

Portland Timbers-

TBD-

Seattle Sounders-

Orange County FC2

Golden State Force0

TBD-

Orange County SC-

Cal5

FC Mulhouse Portland1

TBD-

Las Vegas Lights-

TBD-

Los Angeles Galaxy-

1/64-finals

Orlando City-

TBD-

Hartford Athletic2

New York Cosmos 21

New York Red Bulls U231

Memphis 9013

New York Red Bulls-

TBD-

New England Revolution-

DC United-

TBD-

Philadelphia Union-

North Carolina FC4

Richmond Kickers1

Charlotte Independence2

Florida Soccer Soldiers3

TBD-

New York City-

Columbus Crew-

TBD-

Indy Eleven1

Lansing Ignite0

Dayton0

Pittsburgh Riverhounds3

Charleston2

Greenville Triumph1

South Georgia Tormenta II2

Nashville SC3

TBD-

Atlanta United-

St. Louis FC2

Menace1

El Paso Locomotive0

Forward Madison3

TBD-

Chicago Fire-

Louisville City3

Reading0

West Chester United1

Birmingham Legion4

TBD-

FC Cincinnati-

Houston Dynamo-

TBD-

San Antonio FC2

Laredo Heat0

FC Tulsa0

Austin Bold2

Sporting Kansas City-

TBD-

Minnesota United-

FC Dallas-

TBD-

Tampa Bay4

Brave SC1

NTX Rayados1

Oklahoma City Energy FC3

Colorado Rapids-

TBD-

Colorado Springs1

FC Denver0

Phoenix Rising2

New Mexico3

Los Angeles FC-

TBD-

Real Salt Lake-

Sacramento Republic1

Reno 18680

El Farolito0

Monterey Bay1

TBD-

San Jose Earthquakes-

Portland Timbers-

TBD-

Seattle Sounders-

Orange County FC3

Orange County SC2

Cal0

Las Vegas Lights2

TBD-

Los Angeles Galaxy-

1/32-finals

Orlando City-

TBD-

Hartford Athletic0

Memphis 9014

New York Red Bulls-

TBD-

New England Revolution-

DC United-

TBD-

Philadelphia Union-

North Carolina FC1

Florida Soccer Soldiers0

TBD-

New York City-

Columbus Crew-

TBD-

Indy Eleven0

Pittsburgh Riverhounds1

Charleston2

Nashville SC1

TBD-

Atlanta United-

St. Louis FC3

Forward Madison1

TBD-

Chicago Fire-

Louisville City1

Birmingham Legion0

TBD-

FC Cincinnati-

Houston Dynamo-

TBD-

San Antonio FC2

Austin Bold4

Sporting Kansas City-

TBD-

Minnesota United-

FC Dallas-

TBD-

Tampa Bay3

Oklahoma City Energy FC4

Colorado Rapids-

TBD-

Colorado Springs1

New Mexico2

Los Angeles FC-

TBD-

Real Salt Lake-

Sacramento Republic1

Monterey Bay0

TBD-

San Jose Earthquakes-

Portland Timbers-

TBD-

Seattle Sounders-

Orange County FC5

Las Vegas Lights3

TBD-

Los Angeles Galaxy-

1/16-finals

Orlando City3

Memphis 9011

New York Red Bulls2

New England Revolution3

DC United2

Philadelphia Union1

North Carolina FC0

New York City4

Columbus Crew1

Pittsburgh Riverhounds0

Charleston1

Atlanta United3

St. Louis FC2

Chicago Fire1

Louisville City1

FC Cincinnati2

Houston Dynamo3

Austin Bold2

Sporting Kansas City1

Minnesota United4

FC Dallas4

Oklahoma City Energy FC0

Colorado Rapids2

New Mexico3

Los Angeles FC3

Real Salt Lake0

Sacramento Republic3

San Jose Earthquakes4

Portland Timbers2

Seattle Sounders1

Orange County FC0

Los Angeles Galaxy3

1/8-finals

Orlando City2

New England Revolution1

DC United1

New York City2

Columbus Crew2

Atlanta United3

St. Louis FC1

FC Cincinnati0

Houston Dynamo2

Minnesota United3

FC Dallas1

New Mexico2

Los Angeles FC3

San Jose Earthquakes1

Portland Timbers4

Los Angeles Galaxy0

Quarter-finals

Orlando City2

New York City1

Atlanta United2

St. Louis FC0

Minnesota United6

New Mexico1

Los Angeles FC0

Portland Timbers1

Semi-finals

Orlando City0

Atlanta United2

Minnesota United2

Portland Timbers1

Final

Atlanta United2

Minnesota United1