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El Gaish vs Asyut Petroleum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Egypt Cup Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium, Cairo
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Egypt Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: El Gaish at 0.91 goals for, 1 against; Asyut Petroleum at 1.13 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, El Gaish have won 3 to Asyut Petroleum's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 24, 2010, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.94) point toward El Gaish. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
El Gaish
35%
Draws
46%
Asyut Petroleum
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Asyut Petroleum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • El Gaish carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • El Gaish have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor El Gaish, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
El Gaish Clean Sheet 20%
Asyut Petroleum Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gaish Asyut Petroleum
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.91 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2010 Premier League
Asyut Petroleum vs El Gaish
0:3
Oct 23, 2009 Premier League
El Gaish vs Asyut Petroleum
3:1
Feb 22, 2009 Premier League
Asyut Petroleum vs El Gaish
2:1
Aug 29, 2008 Premier League
El Gaish vs Asyut Petroleum
1:0
Mar 1, 2007 Premier League
Asyut Petroleum vs El Gaish
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gaish 32 / 100
Asyut Petroleum 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gaish Asyut Petroleum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Gaish scored in 60% of their last 35 games.

Asyut Petroleum has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

El Gaish has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

El Gaish VS Asyut Petroleum
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Gaish

(Home)
04 Nov
ZED FC
0 : 0
El Gaish
30 Oct
Al Ittihad Alexandria
0 : 0
El Gaish
20 Oct
El Gaish
1 : 4
Pyramids
13 Oct
National Bank Egypt
3 : 0
El Gaish
14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
Smouha
Page 1 of 7

Asyut Petroleum

(Away)
03 Nov
Enppi
0 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
30 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
1 : 1
El Gouna
20 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 1
Zamalek
13 Oct
Abu Qir Semad
1 : 2
Asyut Petroleum
07 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 5
Al Ahly
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pyramids -
El Daklyeh -
National Bank Egypt -
Bur Fouad -
Al Masry -
Misr Lel Makkasa -
El Gaish -
Asyut Petroleum -
ZED FC -
Samanod -
Smouha -
El Minya -
Wadi Degla -
Kahrabaa Ismailia -
Ceramica Cleopatra -
Abu Qir Semad -
Zamalek -
Misr Insurance -
Enppi -
Proxy -
El Gouna 1
Ittihad El-Shorta 1
Ghazl El Mahallah 1
Al Ittihad Alexandria 2
Al Ahly -
Al Sekka -
Petrojet -
Delphi SC -
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) -
WE Sports Club -
Modern Sport -
Al Qanah -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Ittihad Alexandria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -