Sport Picks
Match Events
54'
54'
Camacho M.
62'
62'
Bakri A.
Own Goal
67'
67'
Sub
Ouro-Agoro I. In: Khaled H.
Out: Ouro-Agoro I.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with ZED FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- El Gaish carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- El Gaish have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor ZED FC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
El Gaish Clean Sheet 68%
ZED FC Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Gaish | ZED FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
ZED FC vs El Gaish
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 Egypt Cup
El Gaish vs ZED FC
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
El Gaish vs ZED FC
2:2
May 2, 2025 Premier League
ZED FC vs El Gaish
0:0
Feb 18, 2025 Premier League
El Gaish vs ZED FC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
El Gaish Compare
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
ZED FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Adel A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Khalil R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Gaish 41 / 100
ZED FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Gaish ZED FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
El Gaish scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
ZED FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: El Gaish stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
El Gaish VS ZED FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
El Gaish
(Home) 28 May
El Gaish
0 : 2 Wadi Degla
22 May
El Gouna
2 : 1 El Gaish
18 May
El Gaish
1 : 0 Pharco FC
13 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0 El Gaish
07 May
El Gaish
1 : 0 Ghazl El Mahallah
Page 1 of 7
28 May
El Gaish
0 : 2 Wadi Degla
18 May
El Gaish
1 : 0 Pharco FC
07 May
El Gaish
1 : 0 Ghazl El Mahallah
24 Apr
El Gaish
1 : 2 Kahrabaa Ismailia
13 Apr
El Gaish
2 : 0 Petrojet
Page 1 of 3
ZED FC
(Away) 08 Jun
ZED FC
0 : 2 Wadi Degla
01 Jun
Al Masry
2 : 0 ZED FC
29 May
ZED FC
1 : 1 Kahrabaa Ismailia
25 May
ZED FC
1 : 0 Al Masry
21 May
Wadi Degla
2 : 2 ZED FC
Page 1 of 7
01 Jun
Al Masry
2 : 0 ZED FC
21 May
Wadi Degla
2 : 2 ZED FC
17 May
El Ismaily
0 : 0 ZED FC
07 May
Haras El Hodood
1 : 2 ZED FC
24 Apr
National Bank Egypt
2 : 1 ZED FC
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Petrojet1
Wadi Degla0
Modern Sport1
Al Qanah0
El Gouna2
Asyut Petroleum1
Pyramids2
Masar0
Al Ahly1
WE Sports Club2
Pharco FC2
Telephonaat Beni Suef0
National Bank Egypt4
Bur Fouad1
Enppi1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)0
Zamalek1
Baladiyat El Mahalla0
Ceramica Cleopatra2
Abu Qir Semad0
El Gaish2
Al-Sekka0
Al Ittihad Alexandria0
Kahrabaa Ismailia1
Haras El Hodood3
El Ismaily1
Smouha3
Ghazl El Mahallah1
ZED FC1
Alo Egypt0
Al Masry4
Dekernes2
1/8-finals
Petrojet2
Modern Sport1
El Gouna0
Pyramids3
WE Sports Club2
Pharco FC1
National Bank Egypt0
Enppi1
Zamalek1
Ceramica Cleopatra2
El Gaish2
Kahrabaa Ismailia1
Haras El Hodood2
Smouha1
ZED FC1
Al Masry0
Quarter-finals
Petrojet0
Pyramids2
WE Sports Club0
Enppi2
Ceramica Cleopatra0
El Gaish1
Haras El Hodood1
ZED FC2
Semi-finals
Pyramids4
Enppi0
El Gaish1
ZED FC3
Final
Pyramids2
ZED FC1