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El Gouna vs Asyut Petroleum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

League Cup
Wed, Jan 20, 2027
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the League Cup. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Asyut Petroleum have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while El Gouna have conceded 0.9 and scored 0.83. Head-to-head, El Gouna have won 3 to Asyut Petroleum's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 4, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.63) point toward Asyut Petroleum. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
El Gouna
20%
Draws
40%
Asyut Petroleum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Asyut Petroleum have won more games recently than El Gouna.
  • Win probability leans El Gouna's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Asyut Petroleum arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor El Gouna, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 20%
Asyut Petroleum Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gouna Asyut Petroleum
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 13 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2025 Egypt Cup
El Gouna vs Asyut Petroleum
2:1
May 4, 2023 Division 2 - Group A
El Gouna vs Asyut Petroleum
1:0
Dec 8, 2022 Division 2 - Group A
Asyut Petroleum vs El Gouna
1:0
Sep 21, 2011 Egypt Cup
El Gouna vs Asyut Petroleum
4:3
Feb 8, 2010 Premier League
El Gouna vs Asyut Petroleum
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gouna 58 / 100
Asyut Petroleum 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gouna Asyut Petroleum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Gouna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Gouna found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Asyut Petroleum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Asyut Petroleum's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

El Gouna VS Asyut Petroleum
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Gouna

(Home)
08 Oct
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 0
El Gouna
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2
Petrojet
09 Sept
Pyramids
1 : 0
El Gouna
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
28 Aug
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gouna
Page 1 of 6

Asyut Petroleum

(Away)
07 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 5
Al Ahly
15 Sept
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 2
Modern Sport
07 Sept
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
31 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 1
National Bank Egypt
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ZED FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Wadi Degla 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 El Gaish 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Ittihad Alexandria 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Zamalek 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modern Sport 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Pyramids 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Smouha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Qanah 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
5 National Bank Egypt 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Enppi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 El Gouna 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Asyut Petroleum 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Masry 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Ghazl El Mahallah 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Abu Qir Semad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Petrojet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ceramica Cleopatra 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)