Sport Picks
El Gouna vs El Ismaily
Egypt
Premier League 2025/2026 Khaled Bichara Stadium, El Gouna 
Match Events
2'
2'
Mohsen M.
Assist: El Gazar O.
45'
45'
El Gazar O.
46'
46'
Sub
Hassan M. In: Farag N.
Out: Hassan M.
AI Match Summary
El Gouna in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Gouna.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: El Ismaily
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- El Ismaily haven't matched El Gouna's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans El Gouna's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and El Gouna have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 68%
El Ismaily Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Gouna | El Ismaily |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 14 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 0.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs El Ismaily
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
El Ismaily vs El Gouna
1:2
Dec 10, 2025 League Cup
El Ismaily vs El Gouna
1:3
May 25, 2025 Premier League
El Ismaily vs El Gouna
3:0
Feb 12, 2025 Premier League
El Gouna vs El Ismaily
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
El Gouna Compare
Top Goalscorer Mohsen M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
El Ismaily Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Gouna 51 / 100
El Ismaily 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Gouna El Ismaily
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
El Gouna scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
El Ismaily has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: El Gouna stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
El Gouna VS El Ismaily
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
El Gouna
(Home) 16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2 Petrojet
09 Sept
Pyramids
1 : 0 El Gouna
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
28 Aug
Al Qanah
1 : 1 El Gouna
23 Aug
El Gouna
1 : 1 Modern Sport
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2 Petrojet
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
23 Aug
El Gouna
1 : 1 Modern Sport
22 May
El Gouna
2 : 1 El Gaish
12 May
El Gouna
0 : 1 Kahrabaa Ismailia
Page 1 of 4
El Ismaily
(Away) 25 Sept
Delta United
2 : 3 El Ismaily
17 Sept
El Ismaily
0 : 2 Haras El Hodood
11 Sept
El-Entag El-Harby
1 : 1 El Ismaily
04 Sept
El Ismaily
1 : 1 Al Nasr Cairo
28 Aug
WE Sports Club
2 : 1 El Ismaily
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Delta United
2 : 3 El Ismaily
11 Sept
El-Entag El-Harby
1 : 1 El Ismaily
28 Aug
WE Sports Club
2 : 1 El Ismaily
23 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
3 : 0 El Ismaily
12 May
Wadi Degla
2 : 1 El Ismaily
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:9 | 53 |
| 9 | ZED FC | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 49 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 20:16 | 48 |
| 11 | El Gouna | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 10:9 | 46 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 45 |
| 13 | Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 15:10 | 38 |
| 14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 15:11 | 38 |
| 15 | Modern Sport | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 8:10 | 37 |
| 16 | El Gaish | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7:10 | 37 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad Alexandria | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 14:14 | 36 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 13:16 | 32 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 11:19 | 26 |
| 20 | Pharco FC | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:13 | 25 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4:12 | 20 |
Relegation - Division 2 A (Main)
