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El Gouna vs Ittihad El-Shorta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Egypt Cup Khaled Bichara Stadium, El Gouna
El Gouna Logo

El Gouna

4 - 1
FT
Ittihad El-Shorta Logo

Ittihad El-Shorta

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Reda M.
42' Event
48' Event
Mohsen M.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
El Gouna
15%
Draws
64%
Ittihad El-Shorta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ittihad El-Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • El Gouna have won more games recently than Ittihad El-Shorta.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • El Gouna have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ittihad El-Shorta, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 20%
Ittihad El-Shorta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gouna Ittihad El-Shorta
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 6 4
Draws 14 10
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.75 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2026 Egypt Cup
El Gouna vs Ittihad El-Shorta
4:1
Jul 1, 2015 Premier League
Ittihad El-Shorta vs El Gouna
1:1
Jan 26, 2015 Premier League
El Gouna vs Ittihad El-Shorta
0:1
Dec 26, 2011 Premier League
El Gouna vs Ittihad El-Shorta
0:0
Jul 3, 2011 Premier League
El Gouna vs Ittihad El-Shorta
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Gouna Compare

Top Goalscorer Reda M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ojo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ittihad El-Shorta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gouna 32 / 100
Ittihad El-Shorta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gouna Ittihad El-Shorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ittihad El-Shorta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ittihad El-Shorta registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

El Gouna scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

El Gouna VS Ittihad El-Shorta
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

El Gouna

(Home)
30 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
1 : 1
El Gouna
19 Oct
El Gouna
0 : 2
Smouha
13 Oct
Al Ittihad Alexandria
2 : 1
El Gouna
08 Oct
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 0
El Gouna
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2
Petrojet
Page 1 of 7

Ittihad El-Shorta

(Away)
08 Oct
El Entag El Harby
2 : 0
Ittihad El-Shorta
25 Dec
Misr Lel Makkasa
2 : 1
Ittihad El-Shorta
12 Jul
Zamalek
2 : 1
Ittihad El-Shorta
04 Jul
Petrojet
3 : 0
Ittihad El-Shorta
26 Jun
Ittihad El-Shorta
3 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pyramids -
El Daklyeh -
National Bank Egypt -
Bur Fouad -
Al Masry -
Misr Lel Makkasa -
El Gaish -
Asyut Petroleum -
ZED FC -
Samanod -
Smouha -
El Minya -
Wadi Degla -
Kahrabaa Ismailia -
Ceramica Cleopatra -
Abu Qir Semad -
Zamalek -
Misr Insurance -
Enppi -
Proxy -
El Gouna 1
Ittihad El-Shorta 1
Ghazl El Mahallah 1
Al Ittihad Alexandria 2
Al Ahly -
Al Sekka -
Petrojet -
Delphi SC -
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) -
WE Sports Club -
Modern Sport -
Al Qanah -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Ittihad Alexandria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -