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Stadium Background

El Ismaily vs El Gouna

Egypt Egypt

League Cup Borg El Arab Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Ammar M.
Own Goal
46'
Sub
El Kot O. In: Ehab M.
Out: El Kot O.
46'
Sub
Abdelsalam A. In: Farag N.
Out: Abdelsalam A.

AI Match Summary

The League Cup game between El Ismaily and El Gouna finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Gouna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
El Ismaily
33%
Draws
40%
El Gouna
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: El Gouna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • El Gouna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives El Gouna a 40% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal League Cup game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors El Gouna here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
El Ismaily Clean Sheet 26%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Ismaily El Gouna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 9 12
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs El Ismaily
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
El Ismaily vs El Gouna
1:2
Dec 10, 2025 League Cup
El Ismaily vs El Gouna
1:3
May 25, 2025 Premier League
El Ismaily vs El Gouna
3:0
Feb 12, 2025 Premier League
El Gouna vs El Ismaily
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Ismaily Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

El Gouna Compare

Top Goalscorer El Shimi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Ismaily 30 / 100
El Gouna 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Ismaily El Gouna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Gouna let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: El Ismaily scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: El Ismaily stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Ismaily VS El Gouna
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Gaish64117:313
2Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)63219:511
3Enppi63127:510
4Pharco FC63038:109
5Ghazl El Mahallah62224:48
6Al Ahly62047:96
7Ceramica Cleopatra61052:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrojet650115:515
2El Gouna641110:513
3Wadi Degla631212:610
4National Bank Egypt614111:77
5El Ismaily61235:75
6Modern Sport61233:75
7Pyramids61053:223
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Masry63215:311
2ZED FC63126:410
3Al Ittihad Alexandria61505:28
4Kahrabaa Ismailia615012:118
5Smouha62224:58
6Zamalek62137:97
7Haras El Hodood60244:92