Sport Picks

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El Kanemi Warriors vs Bayelsa United

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL El-Kanemi Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Abdulrahman D.

AI Match Summary

El Kanemi Warriors in this NPFL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Kanemi Warriors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
El Kanemi Warriors
17%
Draws
13%
Bayelsa United
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: El Kanemi Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to El Kanemi Warriors lately — more wins on the board than Bayelsa United.
  • Model gives El Kanemi Warriors a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
El Kanemi Warriors Clean Sheet 16%
Bayelsa United Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Kanemi Warriors Bayelsa United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 NPFL
El Kanemi Warriors vs Bayelsa United
1:0
Dec 28, 2025 NPFL
Bayelsa United vs El Kanemi Warriors
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 NPFL
Bayelsa United vs El Kanemi Warriors
2:1
Dec 1, 2024 NPFL
El Kanemi Warriors vs Bayelsa United
0:0
Nov 19, 2022 NNL
El Kanemi Warriors vs Bayelsa United
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Kanemi Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulrahman D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Bayelsa United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Kanemi Warriors 66 / 100
Bayelsa United 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Kanemi Warriors Bayelsa United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayelsa United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: El Kanemi Warriors stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Bayelsa United registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

El Kanemi Warriors found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

El Kanemi Warriors VS Bayelsa United
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rangers International381911847:2768
2Rivers United381910944:3167
3Shooting381861441:4060
4Ikorodu City3816101243:3958
5Bendel3814141044:3856
6Nasarawa United381681437:3456
7Abia Warriors381671531:3455
8Barau3813131234:3052
9Katsina Utd3814101436:3952
10Plateau United381551839:4050
11Enyimba International3813101544:4249
12Kun Khalifa3813101542:4049
13Warri Wolves3813101536:4149
14Niger Tornadoes381391637:3648
15Kano Pillars381561734:3948
16Kwara3813111432:3647
17Remo Stars381451942:4747
18El Kanemi Warriors381381727:4647
19Bayelsa United3811101737:4243
20Wikki Tourists389131636:4840