Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Kerma vs ASO Chlef

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Harrag C.
72' Event
Hamra A.
(Penalty)
85' Event
Balegh A. S.

AI Match Summary

El Kerma in this Algeria Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
El Kerma
30%
Draws
12%
ASO Chlef
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Kerma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • ASO Chlef have won more games recently than El Kerma.
  • Model gives El Kerma a 58% chance of winning this.
  • ASO Chlef arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor El Kerma, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
El Kerma Clean Sheet 68%
ASO Chlef Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Kerma ASO Chlef
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.11 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2025 Algeria Cup
El Kerma vs ASO Chlef
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Kerma Compare

Top Goalscorer Harrag C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balegh A. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

ASO Chlef Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Kerma 59 / 100
ASO Chlef 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Kerma ASO Chlef

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Kerma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Kerma found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

ASO Chlef's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

El Kerma has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS ASO Chlef
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Kerma

(Home)
11 Jan
US Chaouia
2 : 1
El Kerma
03 Jan
El Kerma
2 : 1
ASO Chlef
26 Jun
SC Ain Defla
3 : 0
El Kerma
19 Jun
El Kerma
1 : 1
ASM Oran
05 Jun
Remchi
0 : 0
El Kerma
Page 1 of 6

ASO Chlef

(Away)
12 Sept
Constantine
3 : 0
ASO Chlef
05 Sept
ASO Chlef
3 : 3
CR Belouizdad
05 Jun
MC Alger
2 : 0
ASO Chlef
20 May
ASO Chlef
1 : 2
Kabylie
07 May
Oran
1 : 0
ASO Chlef
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bel Abbes 2
Azazga 1
CR Temouchent 3
CA Batna 1
Bouakeul 0
Beni Thamou 1
USM Blida 0
Sedrata 1
RC Kouba 2
GC Mascara 0
Saoura 2
Khenchela 1
USM Alger 6
Olympique Magrane 0
Magra 1
Rouisset 0
ISC Tlemcen 1
USM Setif 3
Bechar Djedid 2
Oran 3
Guelma 0
Kabylie 2
Harrach 1
Hussein Dey 0
IRB Nezla 0
Kolea 1
Biskra 1
SC Mecheria 0
Mostaganem 2
WAB Tissemsilt 1
JSM Tiaret 4
ES Aurassien 0
CR Belouizdad 1
CR Zaouia 0
ES Ben Aknoun 0
MC Alger 3
US Chaouia 1
WA Mostaganem 0
El Kerma 2
ASO Chlef 1
Annaba 2
Ain Yagout 1
MO Bejaia 2
Khroub 1
Sendjas 1
Paradou 3
Hai El Djabel 2
Oued Fodda 1
Touggourt 2
Bougaa 0
Nasr El Fedjoudj 0
El Bayadh 1
Olympique Akbou 1
Constantine 0
MJ Arzew 2
Mouloudia Chouhada 1
Bejaia 2
USB Hassi 1
Sidi Abdelmoumen 0
AE El Eulma 2
Eulma 0
ES Setif 2
MB Barika 1
JS Djijel 2
1/16-finals
Bel Abbes 0
CR Temouchent 1
Beni Thamou 1
Sedrata 0
RC Kouba 2
Saoura 1
USM Alger 1
Magra 0
USM Setif 0
Oran 1
Kabylie 0
Harrach 1
Kolea 0
Biskra 1
Mostaganem 2
JSM Tiaret 1
CR Belouizdad 1
MC Alger 0
US Chaouia 2
El Kerma 1
Annaba 0
MO Bejaia 1
Paradou 2
Hai El Djabel 3
Touggourt 0
El Bayadh 2
Olympique Akbou 1
MJ Arzew 0
Bejaia 0
AE El Eulma 1
ES Setif 1
JS Djijel 0
1/8-finals
CR Temouchent 1
Beni Thamou 0
RC Kouba 0
USM Alger 1
Oran 0
Harrach 1
Biskra 1
Mostaganem 2
CR Belouizdad 4
US Chaouia 2
MO Bejaia 2
Hai El Djabel 0
El Bayadh 1
Olympique Akbou 0
AE El Eulma 0
ES Setif 1
Quarter-finals
CR Temouchent 0
USM Alger 5
Harrach 2
Mostaganem 1
CR Belouizdad 1
MO Bejaia 0
El Bayadh 1
ES Setif 0
Semi-finals
USM Alger 1
Harrach 0
CR Belouizdad 1
El Bayadh 0
Final
USM Alger 2
CR Belouizdad 0