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EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Heegan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
EL Merriekh Bentiu
15%
Draws
51%
Heegan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heegan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Heegan lately — more wins on the board than EL Merriekh Bentiu.
  • Model gives Heegan a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Heegan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor EL Merriekh Bentiu, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
EL Merriekh Bentiu Clean Sheet 10%
Heegan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EL Merriekh Bentiu Heegan
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 3 18
Draws 1 8
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 0.78 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 CAF Champions League
Heegan vs EL Merriekh Bentiu
0:3
Sep 5, 2026 CAF Champions League
EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Heegan
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EL Merriekh Bentiu 26 / 100
Heegan 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EL Merriekh Bentiu Heegan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heegan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: EL Merriekh Bentiu scored in 56% of their last 9 outings.

Defensive concern: Heegan conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

EL Merriekh Bentiu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EL Merriekh Bentiu VS Heegan
2 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

EL Merriekh Bentiu

(Home)
12 Sept
Heegan
0 : 3
EL Merriekh Bentiu
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
28 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
EL Merriekh Bentiu
20 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
0 : 2
Azam
25 Aug
Mahia
5 : 1
EL Merriekh Bentiu
Page 1 of 2

Heegan

(Away)
12 Sept
Heegan
0 : 3
EL Merriekh Bentiu
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 5
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland -
Petro Atletico -
African Stars -
Orlando Pirates -
15 de Agosto -
Simba -
CFFA -
Young Africans -
Asswehly -
Esperance Tunis -
APR -
Zamalek -
EL Merriekh Bentiu -
Pyramids -
Sidama Bunna -
Al Hilal Omdurman -
Star Sport Academy -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez -
ASEC Mimosas -
Teungueth -
Colombe -
Rangers International -
MC Alger -
San Pedro -
Nouadhibou -
Horoya -
Al Merreikh -
Mazembe -
Club Africain -