Sport Picks
EL Nacional vs Atletico Porteno
Ecuador
Serie B 2021 Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
EL Nacional in this Serie B 2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored EL Nacional.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- EL Nacional haven't matched Atletico Porteno's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Atletico Porteno's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | EL Nacional | Atletico Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 20 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
EL Nacional Compare
Atletico Porteno Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Atletico Porteno conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
EL Nacional scored in 55% of their last 33 games.
Recent resilience: EL Nacional stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cumbaya | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 47:36 | 67 |
| 2 | Gualaceo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 46:31 | 60 |
| 3 | EL Nacional | 36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 49:36 | 59 |
| 4 | Chacaritas | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 35:34 | 49 |
| 5 | America de Quito | 36 | 10 | 17 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 6 | Buhos ULVR | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 41:53 | 47 |
| 7 | Independiente Juniors | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 45:46 | 43 |
| 8 | Atletico Santo Domingo | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 37:44 | 42 |
| 9 | Atletico Porteno | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 46:64 | 39 |
| 10 | LDU Portoviejo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42:52 | 37 |