Sport Picks
EL Nacional vs Cumbaya
Ecuador
Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Cumbaya in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cumbaya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Cumbaya lately — more wins on the board than EL Nacional.
- Cumbaya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Cumbaya here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | EL Nacional | Cumbaya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 19 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
EL Nacional Compare
Cumbaya Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Cumbaya conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
EL Nacional found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).
EL Nacional went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
EL Nacional
(Home)Cumbaya
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Juniors | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 28:16 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico FC | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 25:14 | 38 |
| 3 | Nueve de Octubre | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 22:14 | 37 |
| 4 | CD Cuenca Juniors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 20:23 | 34 |
| 5 | Vinotinto | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 24:21 | 31 |
| 7 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 17:22 | 27 |
| 8 | Cumbaya | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22:22 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Santo Domingo | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 10 | Gualaceo | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 19:16 | 23 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15:32 | 9 |
| 12 | 22 de Julio | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10:31 | 9 |
