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El Palo vs Alhaurin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alhaurin in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alhaurin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
El Palo
20%
Draws
51%
Alhaurin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alhaurin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Alhaurin haven't matched El Palo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives El Palo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
El Palo Clean Sheet 18%
Alhaurin Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Palo Alhaurin
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.06 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Alhaurin
0:1
Oct 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs El Palo
1:4
Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Alhaurin
2:0
Nov 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs El Palo
0:0
Oct 2, 2020 Club Friendly
Alhaurin vs El Palo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Palo 41 / 100
Alhaurin 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Palo Alhaurin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Palo found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Alhaurin conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: El Palo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Palo VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

El Palo

(Home)
10 May
El Palo
0 : 2
Churriana de la Vega
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2
El Palo
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Torre del Mar
1 : 1
El Palo
12 Apr
El Palo
0 : 1
Motril
Page 1 of 7

Alhaurin

(Away)
24 Apr
Marbella
5 : 0
Alhaurin
17 Apr
Alhaurin
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
09 Apr
Huetor Tajar
4 : 1
Alhaurin
03 Apr
Alhaurin
0 : 0
Torremolinos
27 Mar
Atletico de Porcuna
0 : 1
Alhaurin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 32 17 12 3 45:21 63
2 Huetor Tajar 32 16 10 6 56:30 58
3 Marbella 32 18 4 10 53:26 58
4 Almeria B 32 16 9 7 59:31 57
5 Malaga B 32 17 6 9 51:38 57
6 Motril 32 17 5 10 59:37 56
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 32 14 13 5 55:35 55
8 Torre del Mar 32 14 7 11 52:40 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 32 11 9 12 42:47 42
10 El Palo 32 11 8 13 40:40 41
11 Huetor Vega 32 9 12 11 33:38 39
12 CD Torreperogil 32 10 8 14 28:36 38
13 Jaen 32 9 12 11 31:43 36
14 Alhaurin 32 9 7 16 28:49 34
15 UD San Pedro 32 7 7 18 26:48 28
16 CD Alhaurino 32 6 9 17 40:53 27
17 Intergym Melilla 32 0 4 28 13:99 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022 (Play Offs)