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El Palo vs Espanol Alquian

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

El Palo play Espanol Alquian in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2015/2016. El Palo are favorites here. Recently, El Palo averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Espanol Alquian averaged 0.2 goals scored and 3.17 conceded. In past meetings, El Palo won 2, Espanol Alquian won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 21, 2016 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for El Palo and 1.31 for Espanol Alquian. This points to a El Palo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
El Palo
15%
Draws
17%
Espanol Alquian
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: El Palo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • El Palo picked up more points recently compared to Espanol Alquian.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
El Palo Clean Sheet 18%
Espanol Alquian Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Palo Espanol Alquian
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 1
Draws 6 0
Losses 18 29
Goals Scored 0.97 0.2
Goals Conceded 1.48 3.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Espanol Alquian vs El Palo
0:3
Oct 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Espanol Alquian
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Palo 65 / 100
Espanol Alquian 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Palo Espanol Alquian

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Palo Win (1)
Secondary Pick El Palo & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.6%
1.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

El Palo attacking → ← attacking Espanol Alquian

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Palo scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Espanol Alquian let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

El Palo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Espanol Alquian lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 3
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mancha38275673:2586
2Malaga B38268496:3486
3Loja38249568:2681
4Ejido38247777:3279
5El Palo382113469:2476
6Antequera38218967:3371
7Guadix382241268:4670
8Velez381811955:3365
9Huetor Tajar3816111160:3759
10Martos381751658:5556
11UD San Pedro381461855:6748
12Los Villares3811111646:5744
13Rincon3810111748:5941
14Alhaurin381242242:6740
15Atarfe Industrial38992045:7136
16Maracena388121848:6936
17River Melilla38952444:8832
18Comarca Del Marmol387102130:6231
19CD Ronda38803032:9724
20Espanol Alquian38113611:1104