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El Palo vs Mijas Las Lagunas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Camacho A.
56'
Wagner R.

AI Match Summary

El Palo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Palo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
El Palo
6%
Draws
90%
Mijas Las Lagunas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mijas Las Lagunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mijas Las Lagunas lately — more wins on the board than El Palo.
  • Win probability leans Mijas Las Lagunas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
El Palo Clean Sheet 21%
Mijas Las Lagunas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Palo Mijas Las Lagunas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Mijas Las Lagunas
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mijas Las Lagunas vs El Palo
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mijas Las Lagunas vs El Palo
4:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Mijas Las Lagunas
1:3
Aug 31, 2024 Club Friendly
El Palo vs Mijas Las Lagunas
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Palo Compare

Top Goalscorer Camacho A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mijas Las Lagunas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Palo 10 / 100
Mijas Las Lagunas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Palo Mijas Las Lagunas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

El Palo found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Mijas Las Lagunas let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

El Palo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

El Palo VS Mijas Las Lagunas
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327