Sport Picks
El Palo vs Mijas Las Lagunas
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 
Match Events
45'
45'
Camacho A.
56'
56'
Wagner R.
AI Match Summary
El Palo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Palo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mijas Las Lagunas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mijas Las Lagunas lately — more wins on the board than El Palo.
- Win probability leans El Palo's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
El Palo Clean Sheet 12%
Mijas Las Lagunas Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Palo | Mijas Las Lagunas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 18 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Mijas Las Lagunas
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mijas Las Lagunas vs El Palo
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mijas Las Lagunas vs El Palo
4:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Mijas Las Lagunas
1:3
Aug 31, 2024 Club Friendly
El Palo vs Mijas Las Lagunas
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
El Palo Compare
Top Goalscorer Camacho A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4
Mijas Las Lagunas Compare
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Palo 35 / 100
Mijas Las Lagunas 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Palo Mijas Las Lagunas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
El Palo found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Mijas Las Lagunas let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
El Palo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
El Palo VS Mijas Las Lagunas
0.71 Goals Scored 2
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
El Palo
(Home) 10 May
El Palo
0 : 2 Churriana de la Vega
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2 El Palo
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Torre del Mar
1 : 1 El Palo
12 Apr
El Palo
0 : 1 Motril
Page 1 of 6
10 May
El Palo
0 : 2 Churriana de la Vega
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
12 Apr
El Palo
0 : 1 Motril
05 Apr
El Palo
0 : 2 UD San Pedro
22 Mar
El Palo
3 : 0 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
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Mijas Las Lagunas
(Away) 20 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 1 Mijas Las Lagunas
13 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
1 : 1 Ciudad de Lucena
06 Sept
Puente Genil
4 : 0 Mijas Las Lagunas
15 Aug
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1 Mijas Las Lagunas
10 May
Granada CF B
4 : 4 Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 1 Mijas Las Lagunas
06 Sept
Puente Genil
4 : 0 Mijas Las Lagunas
15 Aug
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1 Mijas Las Lagunas
10 May
Granada CF B
4 : 4 Mijas Las Lagunas
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1 Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
