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El Paso Locomotive vs Austin Bold - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Gomez A.
Assist: Solignac L.
34'
Gomez A.
36'
Rissi G.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship 2021 game between El Paso Locomotive and Austin Bold finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Paso Locomotive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
El Paso Locomotive
30%
Draws
12%
Austin Bold
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Paso Locomotive

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • El Paso Locomotive carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives El Paso Locomotive a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 68%
Austin Bold Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Paso Locomotive Austin Bold
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2021 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Austin Bold
3:0
Sep 23, 2021 USL Championship
Austin Bold vs El Paso Locomotive
2:2
Aug 8, 2021 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Austin Bold
3:0
Jun 4, 2021 USL Championship
Austin Bold vs El Paso Locomotive
0:1
Oct 18, 2020 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Austin Bold
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Paso Locomotive Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solignac L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Austin Bold Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Paso Locomotive 95 / 100
Austin Bold 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Paso Locomotive Austin Bold

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Paso Locomotive Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Paso Locomotive's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Austin Bold has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: El Paso Locomotive remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

El Paso Locomotive VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

El Paso Locomotive

(Home)
03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1
El Paso Locomotive
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1
FC Tulsa
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3
El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1
Loudoun United
Page 1 of 8

Austin Bold

(Away)
31 Oct
Austin Bold
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
24 Oct
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Austin Bold
21 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
3 : 0
Austin Bold
16 Oct
Real Monarchs
4 : 3
Austin Bold
14 Oct
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1
Austin Bold
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phoenix Rising 32 20 7 5 68:35 67
2 El Paso Locomotive 32 18 10 4 56:34 64
3 Orange County SC 32 15 7 10 44:37 52
4 San Antonio FC 32 14 10 8 50:38 52
5 Colorado Springs 32 13 10 9 60:50 49
6 San Diego Loyal 32 14 6 12 51:43 48
7 Rio Grande Valley FC Toros 32 13 8 11 49:42 47
8 New Mexico 32 12 10 10 44:40 46
9 Austin Bold 32 10 12 10 32:42 42
10 Oakland Roots 32 11 8 13 36:43 41
11 Ventura County 32 11 6 15 55:57 39
12 Tacoma Defiance 32 10 9 13 37:41 39
13 Sacramento Republic 32 8 12 12 36:42 36
14 Real Monarchs 32 5 7 20 28:56 22
15 Las Vegas Lights 32 6 3 23 41:77 21
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 32 23 2 7 55:23 71
2 Louisville City 32 18 7 7 61:37 61
3 Birmingham Legion 32 18 6 8 51:31 60
4 Charlotte Independence 32 18 5 9 57:36 59
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 32 17 7 8 52:34 58
6 Miami FC 32 16 6 10 55:40 54
7 Memphis 901 32 14 8 10 47:42 50
8 FC Tulsa 32 14 5 13 49:48 47
9 Hartford Athletic 32 12 5 15 50:50 41
10 Charleston 32 10 7 15 49:60 37
11 Oklahoma City Energy FC 32 8 13 11 30:38 37
12 Indy Eleven 32 9 8 15 32:47 35
13 Atlanta United 2 32 8 10 14 47:56 34
14 New York Red Bulls II 32 7 7 18 42:67 28
15 Sporting Kansas City II 32 4 8 20 33:64 20
16 Loudoun United 32 4 3 25 31:78 15
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 32 23 2 7 55:23 71
2 Charlotte Independence 32 18 5 9 57:36 59
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 32 17 7 8 52:34 58
4 Miami FC 32 16 6 10 55:40 54
5 Hartford Athletic 32 12 5 15 50:50 41
6 Charleston 32 10 7 15 49:60 37
7 New York Red Bulls II 32 7 7 18 42:67 28
8 Loudoun United 32 4 3 25 31:78 15
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louisville City 32 18 7 7 61:37 61
2 Birmingham Legion 32 18 6 8 51:31 60
3 Memphis 901 32 14 8 10 47:42 50
4 FC Tulsa 32 14 5 13 49:48 47
5 Oklahoma City Energy FC 32 8 13 11 30:38 37
6 Indy Eleven 32 9 8 15 32:47 35
7 Atlanta United 2 32 8 10 14 47:56 34
8 Sporting Kansas City II 32 4 8 20 33:64 20
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phoenix Rising 32 20 7 5 68:35 67
2 Orange County SC 32 15 7 10 44:37 52
3 San Diego Loyal 32 14 6 12 51:43 48
4 Oakland Roots 32 11 8 13 36:43 41
5 Ventura County 32 11 6 15 55:57 39
6 Tacoma Defiance 32 10 9 13 37:41 39
7 Sacramento Republic 32 8 12 12 36:42 36
8 Las Vegas Lights 32 6 3 23 41:77 21
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 32 18 10 4 56:34 64
2 San Antonio FC 32 14 10 8 50:38 52
3 Colorado Springs 32 13 10 9 60:50 49
4 Rio Grande Valley FC Toros 32 13 8 11 49:42 47
5 New Mexico 32 12 10 10 44:40 46
6 Austin Bold 32 10 12 10 32:42 42
7 Real Monarchs 32 5 7 20 28:56 22
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)