Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Paso Locomotive vs Austin Bold

USA USA

USL Championship 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

52'
Sub
Torres J. In: Ycaza E.
Out: Torres J.
52'
Sub
Fernandez C. In: Diouf A.
Out: Fernandez C.
59' Event
Fox A.
Assist: Ross N.

AI Match Summary

El Paso Locomotive in this USL Championship 2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Paso Locomotive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
El Paso Locomotive
17%
Draws
13%
Austin Bold
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: El Paso Locomotive

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to El Paso Locomotive lately — more wins on the board than Austin Bold.
  • El Paso Locomotive are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship 2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 68%
Austin Bold Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Paso Locomotive Austin Bold
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 2.38 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2021 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Austin Bold
3:0
Sep 23, 2021 USL Championship
Austin Bold vs El Paso Locomotive
2:2
Aug 8, 2021 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Austin Bold
3:0
Jun 4, 2021 USL Championship
Austin Bold vs El Paso Locomotive
0:1
Oct 18, 2020 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Austin Bold
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Paso Locomotive Compare

Top Goalscorer Fox A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mares D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Austin Bold Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Paso Locomotive 77 / 100
Austin Bold 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Paso Locomotive Austin Bold

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Paso Locomotive found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (35 games).

Austin Bold let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Away concern: Austin Bold has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

El Paso Locomotive VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

El Paso Locomotive

(Home)
26 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2
New Mexico
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 7

Austin Bold

(Away)
31 Oct
Austin Bold
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
24 Oct
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Austin Bold
21 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
3 : 0
Austin Bold
16 Oct
Real Monarchs
4 : 3
Austin Bold
14 Oct
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1
Austin Bold
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Phoenix Rising32207568:3567
2El Paso Locomotive321810456:3464
3Orange County SC321571044:3752
4San Antonio FC321410850:3852
5Colorado Springs321310960:5049
6San Diego Loyal321461251:4348
7Rio Grande Valley FC Toros321381149:4247
8New Mexico3212101044:4046
9Austin Bold3210121032:4242
10Oakland Roots321181336:4341
11Ventura County321161555:5739
12Tacoma Defiance321091337:4139
13Sacramento Republic328121236:4236
14Real Monarchs32572028:5622
15Las Vegas Lights32632341:7721
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay32232755:2371
2Louisville City32187761:3761
3Birmingham Legion32186851:3160
4Charlotte Independence32185957:3659
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds32177852:3458
6Miami FC321661055:4054
7Memphis 901321481047:4250
8FC Tulsa321451349:4847
9Hartford Athletic321251550:5041
10Charleston321071549:6037
11Oklahoma City Energy FC328131130:3837
12Indy Eleven32981532:4735
13Atlanta United 2328101447:5634
14New York Red Bulls II32771842:6728
15Sporting Kansas City II32482033:6420
16Loudoun United32432531:7815
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay32232755:2371
2Charlotte Independence32185957:3659
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds32177852:3458
4Miami FC321661055:4054
5Hartford Athletic321251550:5041
6Charleston321071549:6037
7New York Red Bulls II32771842:6728
8Loudoun United32432531:7815
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City32187761:3761
2Birmingham Legion32186851:3160
3Memphis 901321481047:4250
4FC Tulsa321451349:4847
5Oklahoma City Energy FC328131130:3837
6Indy Eleven32981532:4735
7Atlanta United 2328101447:5634
8Sporting Kansas City II32482033:6420
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Phoenix Rising32207568:3567
2Orange County SC321571044:3752
3San Diego Loyal321461251:4348
4Oakland Roots321181336:4341
5Ventura County321161555:5739
6Tacoma Defiance321091337:4139
7Sacramento Republic328121236:4236
8Las Vegas Lights32632341:7721
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Paso Locomotive321810456:3464
2San Antonio FC321410850:3852
3Colorado Springs321310960:5049
4Rio Grande Valley FC Toros321381149:4247
5New Mexico3212101044:4046
6Austin Bold3210121032:4242
7Real Monarchs32572028:5622
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)