Sport Picks
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico
USA
USL Cup Southwest University Park, El Paso, TX 
Match Events
60'
60'
Sub
Harris D. In: Melto Quiah J.
Out: Harris D.
60'
60'
Sub
Hurst G. In: Noel V.
Out: Hurst G.
60'
60'
Sub
Gloster C. In: Blackett T.
Out: Gloster C.
AI Match Summary
New Mexico in this USL Cup tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: New Mexico
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to New Mexico lately — more wins on the board than El Paso Locomotive.
- Win probability leans New Mexico's way, sitting at 50%.
- New Mexico arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor El Paso Locomotive, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 16%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Paso Locomotive | New Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 USL Cup
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico
0:2
May 7, 2026 USL Championship
New Mexico vs El Paso Locomotive
2:2
Apr 2, 2026 US Open Cup
New Mexico vs El Paso Locomotive
0:4
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico
4:1
May 4, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
El Paso Locomotive Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
New Mexico Compare
Top Goalscorer Melto Quiah J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bailey Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Paso Locomotive 23 / 100
New Mexico 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Paso Locomotive New Mexico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
El Paso Locomotive found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
New Mexico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
El Paso Locomotive has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
El Paso Locomotive VS New Mexico
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
El Paso Locomotive
(Home) 19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2 New Mexico
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
14 Jun
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2 New Mexico
14 Jun
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
31 May
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 4 Lexington
28 May
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 0 AV Alta FC
30 Apr
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 4 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 3
New Mexico
(Away) 15 Jul
Lexington
1 : 4 New Mexico
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2 New Mexico
05 Jul
New Mexico
2 : 1 Oakland Roots
02 Jul
New Mexico
3 : 3 Atlante
21 Jun
Sacramento Republic
0 : 1 New Mexico
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Lexington
1 : 4 New Mexico
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2 New Mexico
21 Jun
Sacramento Republic
0 : 1 New Mexico
30 May
Hartford Athletic
0 : 0 New Mexico
17 May
Colorado Springs
4 : 0 New Mexico
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spokane Velocity | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 9 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Athletic Club Boise | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Las Vegas Lights | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 6 | Monterey Bay | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Springs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 4 | AV Alta FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 11 |
| 2 | Birmingham Legion | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Corpus Christi FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Indy Eleven | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Lexington | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Union Omaha | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:12 | 6 |
| 6 | Forward Madison | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Fort Wayne | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | 1 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hartford Athletic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Rhode Island | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Brooklyn FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 5 | New York Cosmos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Westchester SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Charleston | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Greenville Triumph | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Loudoun United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 6 | Richmond Kickers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Miami FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Sporting Jax | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Sarasota Paradise | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Naples | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 6 | South Georgia Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams