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El Porvenir W vs River Plate W

Argentina Argentina

Primera A Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Birizamberri C.
(Penalty)
45'
Diaz M.
74' Event
Diaz M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A Women 2023 game between El Porvenir W and River Plate W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward River Plate W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
El Porvenir W
28%
Draws
50%
River Plate W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: River Plate W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • River Plate W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives River Plate W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera A Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
El Porvenir W Clean Sheet 14%
River Plate W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Porvenir W River Plate W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2023 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs River Plate W
0:3
May 22, 2022 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs River Plate W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Porvenir W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

River Plate W Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Altgelt F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Porvenir W 23 / 100
River Plate W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Porvenir W River Plate W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

River Plate W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

El Porvenir W scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: River Plate W conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS River Plate W
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boca Juniors W19153143:748
2UAI Urquiza W19153142:848
3Rosario Central W19134232:843
4River Plate W19113529:1536
5Platense W19105424:1835
6Racing Club W19101827:1631
7CA Independiente W1993723:1630
8San Lorenzo W1985626:2229
9CA Belgrano de Cordoba W1991926:1828
10Huracan W1969416:1527
11Excursionistas W1966720:2624
12CA Banfield W19721017:2223
13Gimnasia L.P. W1957720:2022
14Social Atletico Television W1957718:2422
15CA Estudiantes W19631023:2921
16Ferro W19621120:2520
17Estudiantes L.P. W19361014:3215
18El Porvenir W19431216:4215
19Defensores de Belgrano W1922158:468
20Lanus W19211610:457