Sport Picks

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El Salvador U21 vs Haiti U21

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Jean Jacques D.

AI Match Summary

The Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 game between El Salvador U21 and Haiti U21 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haiti U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
El Salvador U21
15%
Draws
49%
Haiti U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haiti U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and El Salvador U21 come out ahead of Haiti U21 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
El Salvador U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Haiti U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Salvador U21 Haiti U21
Matches Played 18 15
Wins 9 3
Draws 1 2
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.56 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2018 Central American & Caribbean Games
El Salvador U21 vs Haiti U21
0:1
Dec 4, 2002 Central American & Caribbean Games
El Salvador U21 vs Haiti U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Salvador U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Haiti U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean Jacques D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Salvador U21 31 / 100
Haiti U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Salvador U21 Haiti U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Salvador U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haiti U21 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 15 outings.

El Salvador U21 scored in 67% of their last 18 games.

Haiti U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

El Salvador U21 VS Haiti U21
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

El Salvador U21

(Home)
25 Jul
Venezuela U21
3 : 0
El Salvador U21
24 Jul
Mexico U21
0 : 1
El Salvador U21
21 Jul
El Salvador U21
0 : 1
Haiti U21
22 Nov
El Salvador U21
0 : 2
Honduras U21
21 Nov
Mexico U21
2 : 0
El Salvador U21
Page 1 of 4

Haiti U21

(Away)
31 Jul
Haiti U21
0 : 3
Honduras U21
29 Jul
Colombia U21
3 : 1
Haiti U21
26 Jul
Haiti U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
23 Jul
Venezuela U21
2 : 0
Haiti U21
21 Jul
El Salvador U21
0 : 1
Haiti U21
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U21 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Honduras U21 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
3 Costa Rica U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Trinidad & Tobago U21 3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezuela U21 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Haiti U21 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 El Salvador U21 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Mexico U21 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 (Play Offs)