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El Salvador vs Martinique - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Estadio Jorge Gonzalez, San Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gil B.
Assist: Osorio H.
18' Event
Gil B.
Assist: Osorio H.
29' Event
Osorio H.
Assist: Cerritos M.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between El Salvador and Martinique finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Salvador.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
El Salvador
30%
Draws
31%
Martinique
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Salvador

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • El Salvador carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
El Salvador Clean Sheet 22%
Martinique Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Salvador Martinique
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.91 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Martinique vs El Salvador
1:1
Sep 26, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
El Salvador vs Martinique
3:1
Mar 29, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Martinique vs El Salvador
0:1
Oct 18, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
El Salvador vs Martinique
0:0
Oct 13, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Martinique vs El Salvador
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Salvador Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Osorio H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Martinique Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Salvador 37 / 100
Martinique 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Salvador Martinique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Martinique Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Martinique has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

El Salvador has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Martinique registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Salvador VS Martinique
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

El Salvador

(Home)
05 Oct
Martinique
1 : 1
El Salvador
03 Oct
El Salvador
0 : 2
Jamaica
29 Sept
Guatemala
6 : 0
El Salvador
26 Sept
El Salvador
3 : 1
Martinique
10 Jul
Club Tijuana
2 : 2
El Salvador
Page 1 of 7

Martinique

(Away)
05 Oct
Martinique
1 : 1
El Salvador
03 Oct
Martinique
2 : 1
Honduras
28 Sept
Suriname
2 : 1
Martinique
26 Sept
El Salvador
3 : 1
Martinique
29 Mar
Martinique
0 : 1
El Salvador
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 3 0 1 8:8 9
4 Costa Rica 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
5 Trinidad & Tobago 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
6 Nicaragua 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guatemala 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
2 Jamaica 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Suriname 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Honduras 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Martinique 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
6 El Salvador 4 1 1 2 4:10 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)